Recent Reuters reporting on a timeline shift—public prospectus filing now slated for late September and marketing to begin in mid-October—has anchored trader sentiment around an October 2026 listing at 58.5% implied probability. Anthropic’s rapid revenue ramp, with annualized run rates rising from roughly $9 billion at the end of 2025 to $65 billion by July, combined with its confidential S-1 filed in June and pursuit of a $15 billion credit facility, supports the market’s view of a near-term debut potentially at a $2 trillion valuation. November 2026 at 25.3% captures the risk of modest delays from regulatory review or financing finalization ahead of the midterms, while later months reflect lower-probability slippage scenarios.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoOctober 2026 59%
November 2026 25.3%
December 2026 5.1%
February 2027 3.0%
$187,594 Wol.
$187,594 Wol.
Dec 31, 2027
September 2026
1%
October 2026
59%
November 2026
25%
December 2026
5%
January 2027
1%
February 2027
3%
March 2027
2%
April 2027
2%
May 2027
1%
June 2027
1%
July 2027
1%
August 2027
1%
September 2027
1%
October 2027
1%
November 2027
1%
December 2027
1%
No IPO before 2028
1%
October 2026 59%
November 2026 25.3%
December 2026 5.1%
February 2027 3.0%
$187,594 Wol.
$187,594 Wol.
Dec 31, 2027
September 2026
$32,495 Wol.
1%
October 2026
$46,155 Wol.
59%
November 2026
$13,484 Wol.
25%
December 2026
$9,149 Wol.
5%
January 2027
$6,875 Wol.
1%
February 2027
$6,257 Wol.
3%
March 2027
$6,662 Wol.
2%
April 2027
$6,264 Wol.
2%
May 2027
$6,075 Wol.
1%
June 2027
$6,556 Wol.
1%
July 2027
$6,030 Wol.
1%
August 2027
$6,013 Wol.
1%
September 2027
$6,016 Wol.
1%
October 2027
$5,719 Wol.
1%
November 2027
$5,968 Wol.
1%
December 2027
$5,990 Wol.
1%
No IPO before 2028
$11,884 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO) occurs. The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which Anthropic shares are listed and open for regular-way trading on a public securities exchange.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.Recent Reuters reporting on a timeline shift—public prospectus filing now slated for late September and marketing to begin in mid-October—has anchored trader sentiment around an October 2026 listing at 58.5% implied probability. Anthropic’s rapid revenue ramp, with annualized run rates rising from roughly $9 billion at the end of 2025 to $65 billion by July, combined with its confidential S-1 filed in June and pursuit of a $15 billion credit facility, supports the market’s view of a near-term debut potentially at a $2 trillion valuation. November 2026 at 25.3% captures the risk of modest delays from regulatory review or financing finalization ahead of the midterms, while later months reflect lower-probability slippage scenarios.
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO) occurs. The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which Anthropic shares are listed and open for regular-way trading on a public securities exchange.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 19, 2026, 9:36 AM ET
Wolumen
$187,594Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2028Rynek otwarty
Aug 19, 2026, 9:36 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO) occurs. The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which Anthropic shares are listed and open for regular-way trading on a public securities exchange.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.Recent Reuters reporting on a timeline shift—public prospectus filing now slated for late September and marketing to begin in mid-October—has anchored trader sentiment around an October 2026 listing at 58.5% implied probability. Anthropic’s rapid revenue ramp, with annualized run rates rising from roughly $9 billion at the end of 2025 to $65 billion by July, combined with its confidential S-1 filed in June and pursuit of a $15 billion credit facility, supports the market’s view of a near-term debut potentially at a $2 trillion valuation. November 2026 at 25.3% captures the risk of modest delays from regulatory review or financing finalization ahead of the midterms, while later months reflect lower-probability slippage scenarios.
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO) occurs. The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which Anthropic shares are listed and open for regular-way trading on a public securities exchange.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Wolumen
$187,594Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2028Rynek otwarty
Aug 19, 2026, 9:36 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent Reuters reporting on a timeline shift—public prospectus filing now slated for late September and marketing to begin in mid-October—has anchored trader sentiment around an October 2026 listing at 58.5% implied probability. Anthropic’s rapid revenue ramp, with annualized run rates rising from roughly $9 billion at the end of 2025 to $65 billion by July, combined with its confidential S-1 filed in June and pursuit of a $15 billion credit facility, supports the market’s view of a near-term debut potentially at a $2 trillion valuation. November 2026 at 25.3% captures the risk of modest delays from regulatory review or financing finalization ahead of the midterms, while later months reflect lower-probability slippage scenarios.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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