Elon Musk’s September 2 announcement that Grok 4.7 “comes out in 10 days” anchors trader expectations around mid-September, following the August 12 launch of the 1.5-trillion-parameter Grok 4.6. The larger 2.1-trillion-parameter model incorporates supplemental training on extensive SpaceX engineering and telemetry data, positioning it for superior real-world performance in coding, reasoning, and agentic tasks relative to rivals. Historical slippage in xAI timelines, absence of an official model card or API endpoint as of September 8, and competitive pressure from anticipated releases at Anthropic and OpenAI create uncertainty that spreads implied probabilities across September 11–18. Market-implied odds reflect trader assessment of these variables rather than any single confirmed date.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNext Grok Model (4.7+) released on...?
Next Grok Model (4.7+) released on...?
September 16 39.4%
September 17 36.3%
September 15 32.4%
September 18 30%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 10, 2026
September 10
1%
September 11
25%
September 12
32%
September 13
1%
September 14
29%
September 15
32%
September 16
39%
September 17
36%
September 18
30%
September 19
1%
September 20
1%
September 21
1%
September 22
3%
September 23
6%
September 24
3%
September 25
1%
September 26
<1%
September 27
<1%
September 28
5%
September 29
1%
September 30
1%
No release by September 30
1%
September 16 39.4%
September 17 36.3%
September 15 32.4%
September 18 30%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 10, 2026
September 10
$202 Wol.
1%
September 11
$308 Wol.
25%
September 12
$550 Wol.
32%
September 13
$322 Wol.
1%
September 14
$205 Wol.
29%
September 15
$257 Wol.
32%
September 16
$215 Wol.
39%
September 17
$215 Wol.
36%
September 18
$411 Wol.
30%
September 19
$530 Wol.
1%
September 20
$505 Wol.
1%
September 21
$505 Wol.
1%
September 22
$345 Wol.
3%
September 23
$572 Wol.
6%
September 24
$345 Wol.
3%
September 25
$505 Wol.
1%
September 26
$505 Wol.
<1%
September 27
$505 Wol.
<1%
September 28
$379 Wol.
5%
September 29
$379 Wol.
1%
September 30
$505 Wol.
1%
No release by September 30
$345 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's next Grok model (4.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Elon Musk’s September 2 announcement that Grok 4.7 “comes out in 10 days” anchors trader expectations around mid-September, following the August 12 launch of the 1.5-trillion-parameter Grok 4.6. The larger 2.1-trillion-parameter model incorporates supplemental training on extensive SpaceX engineering and telemetry data, positioning it for superior real-world performance in coding, reasoning, and agentic tasks relative to rivals. Historical slippage in xAI timelines, absence of an official model card or API endpoint as of September 8, and competitive pressure from anticipated releases at Anthropic and OpenAI create uncertainty that spreads implied probabilities across September 11–18. Market-implied odds reflect trader assessment of these variables rather than any single confirmed date.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's next Grok model (4.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 3, 2026, 8:19 PM ET
Wolumen
$8,777Data zakończenia
Sep 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 3, 2026, 8:19 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's next Grok model (4.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Elon Musk’s September 2 announcement that Grok 4.7 “comes out in 10 days” anchors trader expectations around mid-September, following the August 12 launch of the 1.5-trillion-parameter Grok 4.6. The larger 2.1-trillion-parameter model incorporates supplemental training on extensive SpaceX engineering and telemetry data, positioning it for superior real-world performance in coding, reasoning, and agentic tasks relative to rivals. Historical slippage in xAI timelines, absence of an official model card or API endpoint as of September 8, and competitive pressure from anticipated releases at Anthropic and OpenAI create uncertainty that spreads implied probabilities across September 11–18. Market-implied odds reflect trader assessment of these variables rather than any single confirmed date.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's next Grok model (4.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$8,777Data zakończenia
Sep 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 3, 2026, 8:19 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s September 2 announcement that Grok 4.7 “comes out in 10 days” anchors trader expectations around mid-September, following the August 12 launch of the 1.5-trillion-parameter Grok 4.6. The larger 2.1-trillion-parameter model incorporates supplemental training on extensive SpaceX engineering and telemetry data, positioning it for superior real-world performance in coding, reasoning, and agentic tasks relative to rivals. Historical slippage in xAI timelines, absence of an official model card or API endpoint as of September 8, and competitive pressure from anticipated releases at Anthropic and OpenAI create uncertainty that spreads implied probabilities across September 11–18. Market-implied odds reflect trader assessment of these variables rather than any single confirmed date.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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