Recent OpenAI breakthroughs using thousands of AI agents to resolve the Navier-Stokes equations in under four days have elevated expectations for large language models tackling abstract mathematics, yet the market prices "no solution by end-2027" and Hodge Conjecture nearly even. Traders see Hodge as the most plausible next target due to its algebraic geometry foundations aligning with emerging formal-verification and multi-agent workflows, while Birch-Swinnerton-Dyer and Riemann Hypothesis remain farther from demonstrated capabilities. P versus NP and Yang-Mills trail because of their computational and quantum-field complexity. The close contest underscores uncertainty over verification timelines, compute costs, and whether the Clay Institute will accept AI-generated proofs before 2028.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
No solution by Dec 31, 2027 36%
Hodge Conjecture 26%
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer 22%
Riemann Hypothesis 17%
$10,580 Wol.
$10,580 Wol.
No solution by Dec 31, 2027
36%
Hodge Conjecture
26%
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer
22%
Riemann Hypothesis
17%
P versus NP
4%
Yang-Mills
2%
No solution by Dec 31, 2027 36%
Hodge Conjecture 26%
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer 22%
Riemann Hypothesis 17%
$10,580 Wol.
$10,580 Wol.
No solution by Dec 31, 2027
36%
Hodge Conjecture
26%
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer
22%
Riemann Hypothesis
17%
P versus NP
4%
Yang-Mills
2%
If no eligible AI lab announces a solution to a qualifying problem by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No solution by Dec 31, 2027". If solutions to two or more qualifying problems are announced on the same calendar day (ET), this market will resolve to the problem whose name, as listed below, comes first in alphabetical order.
The qualifying problems are, in alphabetical order, the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture, the Hodge Conjecture, P versus NP, the Riemann Hypothesis, and the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem (https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/). Announcements concerning the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from Clay Math Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 9, 2026, 3:43 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...If no eligible AI lab announces a solution to a qualifying problem by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No solution by Dec 31, 2027". If solutions to two or more qualifying problems are announced on the same calendar day (ET), this market will resolve to the problem whose name, as listed below, comes first in alphabetical order.
The qualifying problems are, in alphabetical order, the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture, the Hodge Conjecture, P versus NP, the Riemann Hypothesis, and the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem (https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/). Announcements concerning the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from Clay Math Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent OpenAI breakthroughs using thousands of AI agents to resolve the Navier-Stokes equations in under four days have elevated expectations for large language models tackling abstract mathematics, yet the market prices "no solution by end-2027" and Hodge Conjecture nearly even. Traders see Hodge as the most plausible next target due to its algebraic geometry foundations aligning with emerging formal-verification and multi-agent workflows, while Birch-Swinnerton-Dyer and Riemann Hypothesis remain farther from demonstrated capabilities. P versus NP and Yang-Mills trail because of their computational and quantum-field complexity. The close contest underscores uncertainty over verification timelines, compute costs, and whether the Clay Institute will accept AI-generated proofs before 2028.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

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