OpenAI’s September 8 announcement that an unreleased internal model, coordinating roughly 10,000 AI agents, produced a Lean-formalized proof resolving the Navier-Stokes Millennium Prize Problem has sharply shifted trader sentiment toward additional 2026 breakthroughs. The result caps a year of rapid progress in which OpenAI’s Astra model and rival systems from Anthropic and DeepMind have already solved or disproved dozens of longstanding conjectures, including Erdős problems and the Jacobian conjecture. Multi-agent swarms, test-time reinforcement learning, and formal verification pipelines are now viewed as scalable tools for frontier mathematics. With the Clay Institute’s remaining problems under active attack and labs racing to claim the next verified solution before year-end, markets currently price several other Millennium Problems and major conjectures as plausible 2026 outcomes, though independent scrutiny of the Navier-Stokes proof remains a near-term swing factor.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhich math problems will AI solve in 2026?
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer
64%
Hodge Conjecture
64%
Odd Perfect Number
31%
Hadamard Matrix Conjecture
32%
Hadwiger-Nelson Problem
31%
Ramsey Number R(5,5)
28%
Collatz Conjecture
28%
Beal's Conjecture
26%
Legendre's Conjecture
26%
Twin Prime Conjecture
23%
Strong Goldbach Conjecture
18%
Riemann Hypothesis
10%
P versus NP
5%
Yang-Mills
47%
$3,014 Wol.
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer
64%
Hodge Conjecture
64%
Odd Perfect Number
31%
Hadamard Matrix Conjecture
32%
Hadwiger-Nelson Problem
31%
Ramsey Number R(5,5)
28%
Collatz Conjecture
28%
Beal's Conjecture
26%
Legendre's Conjecture
26%
Twin Prime Conjecture
23%
Strong Goldbach Conjecture
18%
Riemann Hypothesis
10%
P versus NP
5%
Yang-Mills
47%
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 9, 2026, 3:44 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s September 8 announcement that an unreleased internal model, coordinating roughly 10,000 AI agents, produced a Lean-formalized proof resolving the Navier-Stokes Millennium Prize Problem has sharply shifted trader sentiment toward additional 2026 breakthroughs. The result caps a year of rapid progress in which OpenAI’s Astra model and rival systems from Anthropic and DeepMind have already solved or disproved dozens of longstanding conjectures, including Erdős problems and the Jacobian conjecture. Multi-agent swarms, test-time reinforcement learning, and formal verification pipelines are now viewed as scalable tools for frontier mathematics. With the Clay Institute’s remaining problems under active attack and labs racing to claim the next verified solution before year-end, markets currently price several other Millennium Problems and major conjectures as plausible 2026 outcomes, though independent scrutiny of the Navier-Stokes proof remains a near-term swing factor.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania