Tom Suozzi’s strong position as the Democratic incumbent reflects his decisive 2024 victory over the same Republican opponent, combined with the district’s lean-Democratic rating from multiple forecasters and his comfortable primary win in June 2026. Traders appear to weigh Suozzi’s centrist record, including bipartisan Problem Solvers Caucus leadership and targeted ads on affordability and extremism, against LiPetri’s Trump endorsement and recent outside advertising criticizing stock trading. The race remains one of the more competitive Democratic-held seats, with LiPetri positioned for a rematch effort. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include sustained national Republican spending, shifts in voter turnout on Long Island and Queens, or late developments altering the local or national environment ahead of the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNY-03 House Election Winner
NY-03 House Election Winner
$26,567 Wol.
$26,567 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Tom Suozzi (D)
92%
Mike LiPetri (R)
8%
$26,567 Wol.
$26,567 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Tom Suozzi (D)
$12,642 Wol.
92%
Mike LiPetri (R)
$13,925 Wol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tom Suozzi’s strong position as the Democratic incumbent reflects his decisive 2024 victory over the same Republican opponent, combined with the district’s lean-Democratic rating from multiple forecasters and his comfortable primary win in June 2026. Traders appear to weigh Suozzi’s centrist record, including bipartisan Problem Solvers Caucus leadership and targeted ads on affordability and extremism, against LiPetri’s Trump endorsement and recent outside advertising criticizing stock trading. The race remains one of the more competitive Democratic-held seats, with LiPetri positioned for a rematch effort. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include sustained national Republican spending, shifts in voter turnout on Long Island and Queens, or late developments altering the local or national environment ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
Wolumen
$26,567Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tom Suozzi’s strong position as the Democratic incumbent reflects his decisive 2024 victory over the same Republican opponent, combined with the district’s lean-Democratic rating from multiple forecasters and his comfortable primary win in June 2026. Traders appear to weigh Suozzi’s centrist record, including bipartisan Problem Solvers Caucus leadership and targeted ads on affordability and extremism, against LiPetri’s Trump endorsement and recent outside advertising criticizing stock trading. The race remains one of the more competitive Democratic-held seats, with LiPetri positioned for a rematch effort. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include sustained national Republican spending, shifts in voter turnout on Long Island and Queens, or late developments altering the local or national environment ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$26,567Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Tom Suozzi’s strong position as the Democratic incumbent reflects his decisive 2024 victory over the same Republican opponent, combined with the district’s lean-Democratic rating from multiple forecasters and his comfortable primary win in June 2026. Traders appear to weigh Suozzi’s centrist record, including bipartisan Problem Solvers Caucus leadership and targeted ads on affordability and extremism, against LiPetri’s Trump endorsement and recent outside advertising criticizing stock trading. The race remains one of the more competitive Democratic-held seats, with LiPetri positioned for a rematch effort. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include sustained national Republican spending, shifts in voter turnout on Long Island and Queens, or late developments altering the local or national environment ahead of the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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