Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott holds a clear edge in the 2026 Texas gubernatorial race, reflected in trader pricing that assigns him an 83% implied probability of victory against Democratic nominee Gina Hinojosa. Recent September polling averages show Abbott ahead by roughly four to five points, with leads ranging from a tie in one survey to margins of seven points in others, consistent with his strong primary performance and the state's longstanding Republican tilt. Hinojosa has narrowed the gap at times by targeting independents, yet no late developments have materially altered the competitive dynamics ahead of the November election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTexas Governor Election Winner
Texas Governor Election Winner
$99,958 Wol.
$99,958 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Greg Abbott (R)
83%
Gina Hinojosa (D)
17%
$99,958 Wol.
$99,958 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Greg Abbott (R)
$43,039 Wol.
83%
Gina Hinojosa (D)
$56,919 Wol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott holds a clear edge in the 2026 Texas gubernatorial race, reflected in trader pricing that assigns him an 83% implied probability of victory against Democratic nominee Gina Hinojosa. Recent September polling averages show Abbott ahead by roughly four to five points, with leads ranging from a tie in one survey to margins of seven points in others, consistent with his strong primary performance and the state's longstanding Republican tilt. Hinojosa has narrowed the gap at times by targeting independents, yet no late developments have materially altered the competitive dynamics ahead of the November election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Rynek otwarty: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Wolumen
$99,958Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott holds a clear edge in the 2026 Texas gubernatorial race, reflected in trader pricing that assigns him an 83% implied probability of victory against Democratic nominee Gina Hinojosa. Recent September polling averages show Abbott ahead by roughly four to five points, with leads ranging from a tie in one survey to margins of seven points in others, consistent with his strong primary performance and the state's longstanding Republican tilt. Hinojosa has narrowed the gap at times by targeting independents, yet no late developments have materially altered the competitive dynamics ahead of the November election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Wolumen
$99,958Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott holds a clear edge in the 2026 Texas gubernatorial race, reflected in trader pricing that assigns him an 83% implied probability of victory against Democratic nominee Gina Hinojosa. Recent September polling averages show Abbott ahead by roughly four to five points, with leads ranging from a tie in one survey to margins of seven points in others, consistent with his strong primary performance and the state's longstanding Republican tilt. Hinojosa has narrowed the gap at times by targeting independents, yet no late developments have materially altered the competitive dynamics ahead of the November election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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