Redistricting in 2025 reshaped Texas's 15th district by adding many new voters in the Rio Grande Valley and surrounding counties, leaving roughly 80 percent of the map unfamiliar with incumbent Monica De La Cruz. This shift has elevated Democratic challenger Bobby Pulido, a Tejano musician with deep local roots and high name recognition in Hidalgo County. Recent polling, including an August 2026 Texas Southern University survey, shows Pulido leading or tied, reflecting voter uncertainty about the incumbent and Pulido's cultural appeal in the majority-Hispanic district. Forecasters rate the contest Lean Republican or Toss-up, but trader pricing at 61.5 percent for Pulido captures the impact of these dynamics on the November 2026 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTX-15 House Election Winner
TX-15 House Election Winner
$20,423 Wol.
$20,423 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Bobby Pulido (D)
62%
Monica De La Cruz (R)
39%
$20,423 Wol.
$20,423 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Bobby Pulido (D)
$8,564 Wol.
62%
Monica De La Cruz (R)
$11,859 Wol.
39%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting in 2025 reshaped Texas's 15th district by adding many new voters in the Rio Grande Valley and surrounding counties, leaving roughly 80 percent of the map unfamiliar with incumbent Monica De La Cruz. This shift has elevated Democratic challenger Bobby Pulido, a Tejano musician with deep local roots and high name recognition in Hidalgo County. Recent polling, including an August 2026 Texas Southern University survey, shows Pulido leading or tied, reflecting voter uncertainty about the incumbent and Pulido's cultural appeal in the majority-Hispanic district. Forecasters rate the contest Lean Republican or Toss-up, but trader pricing at 61.5 percent for Pulido captures the impact of these dynamics on the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Wolumen
$20,423Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting in 2025 reshaped Texas's 15th district by adding many new voters in the Rio Grande Valley and surrounding counties, leaving roughly 80 percent of the map unfamiliar with incumbent Monica De La Cruz. This shift has elevated Democratic challenger Bobby Pulido, a Tejano musician with deep local roots and high name recognition in Hidalgo County. Recent polling, including an August 2026 Texas Southern University survey, shows Pulido leading or tied, reflecting voter uncertainty about the incumbent and Pulido's cultural appeal in the majority-Hispanic district. Forecasters rate the contest Lean Republican or Toss-up, but trader pricing at 61.5 percent for Pulido captures the impact of these dynamics on the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$20,423Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting in 2025 reshaped Texas's 15th district by adding many new voters in the Rio Grande Valley and surrounding counties, leaving roughly 80 percent of the map unfamiliar with incumbent Monica De La Cruz. This shift has elevated Democratic challenger Bobby Pulido, a Tejano musician with deep local roots and high name recognition in Hidalgo County. Recent polling, including an August 2026 Texas Southern University survey, shows Pulido leading or tied, reflecting voter uncertainty about the incumbent and Pulido's cultural appeal in the majority-Hispanic district. Forecasters rate the contest Lean Republican or Toss-up, but trader pricing at 61.5 percent for Pulido captures the impact of these dynamics on the November 2026 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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