**Republican nominee Joe Wilson holds a commanding position in South Carolina’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election.** The district’s R+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including Wilson’s 59.5% win in 2024, underpin the 88.5% Republican Party price. Wilson secured the GOP nomination in the June 9 primary with 74.2% against minor challengers, preserving party unity and incumbency advantages accumulated since 2001. On the Democratic side, Zyon Khalifa advanced from a fragmented primary and June 23 runoff, but the party’s 9.2% price reflects limited path to victory in a solidly Republican seat rated Safe or Solid R by major forecasters. The closely traded Other (50.5%), B (50.0%), and A (49.5%) outcomes capture residual uncertainty around third-party candidate Dayna Alane Smith and exact general-election margins, with no major polling or campaign developments since the primaries to shift trader consensus. The race remains low-volatility absent late-breaking national or local catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoSC-02 House Election Winner
SC-02 House Election Winner
$38,959 Wol.
$38,959 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
88%
Democratic Party
9%
$38,959 Wol.
$38,959 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$14,483 Wol.
88%
Democratic Party
$24,476 Wol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican nominee Joe Wilson holds a commanding position in South Carolina’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election.** The district’s R+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including Wilson’s 59.5% win in 2024, underpin the 88.5% Republican Party price. Wilson secured the GOP nomination in the June 9 primary with 74.2% against minor challengers, preserving party unity and incumbency advantages accumulated since 2001.
On the Democratic side, Zyon Khalifa advanced from a fragmented primary and June 23 runoff, but the party’s 9.2% price reflects limited path to victory in a solidly Republican seat rated Safe or Solid R by major forecasters. The closely traded Other (50.5%), B (50.0%), and A (49.5%) outcomes capture residual uncertainty around third-party candidate Dayna Alane Smith and exact general-election margins, with no major polling or campaign developments since the primaries to shift trader consensus. The race remains low-volatility absent late-breaking national or local catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Wolumen
$38,959Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican nominee Joe Wilson holds a commanding position in South Carolina’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election.** The district’s R+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including Wilson’s 59.5% win in 2024, underpin the 88.5% Republican Party price. Wilson secured the GOP nomination in the June 9 primary with 74.2% against minor challengers, preserving party unity and incumbency advantages accumulated since 2001.
On the Democratic side, Zyon Khalifa advanced from a fragmented primary and June 23 runoff, but the party’s 9.2% price reflects limited path to victory in a solidly Republican seat rated Safe or Solid R by major forecasters. The closely traded Other (50.5%), B (50.0%), and A (49.5%) outcomes capture residual uncertainty around third-party candidate Dayna Alane Smith and exact general-election margins, with no major polling or campaign developments since the primaries to shift trader consensus. The race remains low-volatility absent late-breaking national or local catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$38,959Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...**Republican nominee Joe Wilson holds a commanding position in South Carolina’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election.** The district’s R+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including Wilson’s 59.5% win in 2024, underpin the 88.5% Republican Party price. Wilson secured the GOP nomination in the June 9 primary with 74.2% against minor challengers, preserving party unity and incumbency advantages accumulated since 2001. On the Democratic side, Zyon Khalifa advanced from a fragmented primary and June 23 runoff, but the party’s 9.2% price reflects limited path to victory in a solidly Republican seat rated Safe or Solid R by major forecasters. The closely traded Other (50.5%), B (50.0%), and A (49.5%) outcomes capture residual uncertainty around third-party candidate Dayna Alane Smith and exact general-election margins, with no major polling or campaign developments since the primaries to shift trader consensus. The race remains low-volatility absent late-breaking national or local catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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