**Republican nominee Anthony Constantino holds a strong lead in the NY-21 House race due to the district’s consistent Republican tilt.** The open seat, vacated by former Rep. Elise Stefanik, sits in a North Country area Trump carried by roughly 20 points in 2024. Constantino secured the GOP nomination in the June 23 primary with Trump’s endorsement and heavy self-funding, defeating state Assemblymember Robert Smullen in a contentious contest marked by significant spending differences. Democratic nominee Blake Gendebien, a St. Lawrence County dairy farmer who won his June primary, faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid or Likely Republican by major forecasters. Limited public polling since the primaries shows variable results, with some surveys indicating a competitive race and others a clearer Republican edge. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district’s partisan baseline and Constantino’s organizational and financial advantages heading into the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNY-21 House Election Winner
NY-21 House Election Winner
$69,078 Wol.
$69,078 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Anthony Constantino (R)
75%
Blake Gendebien (D)
23%
$69,078 Wol.
$69,078 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Anthony Constantino (R)
$34,463 Wol.
75%
Blake Gendebien (D)
$34,615 Wol.
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican nominee Anthony Constantino holds a strong lead in the NY-21 House race due to the district’s consistent Republican tilt.** The open seat, vacated by former Rep. Elise Stefanik, sits in a North Country area Trump carried by roughly 20 points in 2024. Constantino secured the GOP nomination in the June 23 primary with Trump’s endorsement and heavy self-funding, defeating state Assemblymember Robert Smullen in a contentious contest marked by significant spending differences.
Democratic nominee Blake Gendebien, a St. Lawrence County dairy farmer who won his June primary, faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid or Likely Republican by major forecasters. Limited public polling since the primaries shows variable results, with some surveys indicating a competitive race and others a clearer Republican edge. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district’s partisan baseline and Constantino’s organizational and financial advantages heading into the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Wolumen
$69,078Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican nominee Anthony Constantino holds a strong lead in the NY-21 House race due to the district’s consistent Republican tilt.** The open seat, vacated by former Rep. Elise Stefanik, sits in a North Country area Trump carried by roughly 20 points in 2024. Constantino secured the GOP nomination in the June 23 primary with Trump’s endorsement and heavy self-funding, defeating state Assemblymember Robert Smullen in a contentious contest marked by significant spending differences.
Democratic nominee Blake Gendebien, a St. Lawrence County dairy farmer who won his June primary, faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid or Likely Republican by major forecasters. Limited public polling since the primaries shows variable results, with some surveys indicating a competitive race and others a clearer Republican edge. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district’s partisan baseline and Constantino’s organizational and financial advantages heading into the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$69,078Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...**Republican nominee Anthony Constantino holds a strong lead in the NY-21 House race due to the district’s consistent Republican tilt.** The open seat, vacated by former Rep. Elise Stefanik, sits in a North Country area Trump carried by roughly 20 points in 2024. Constantino secured the GOP nomination in the June 23 primary with Trump’s endorsement and heavy self-funding, defeating state Assemblymember Robert Smullen in a contentious contest marked by significant spending differences. Democratic nominee Blake Gendebien, a St. Lawrence County dairy farmer who won his June primary, faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid or Likely Republican by major forecasters. Limited public polling since the primaries shows variable results, with some surveys indicating a competitive race and others a clearer Republican edge. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district’s partisan baseline and Constantino’s organizational and financial advantages heading into the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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