Incumbent Democrat John Mannion holds a commanding position in the NY-22 House race due to the district's shift toward Solid Democratic status after his 2024 victory, combined with substantial fundraising dominance and uncontested primaries on both sides in June 2026. Analysts rate the Central New York seat, covering Syracuse and surrounding areas, as safe for the incumbent, with national Republican groups showing little interest in contesting it. Mannion's cash-on-hand advantage exceeds $1.6 million against challenger Kailee Buller's roughly $190,000, reflecting limited GOP donor support. Buller, a former USDA official with agriculture ties, entered late and relies on out-of-district contributions. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Mannion aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as major scandals or turnout surprises could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNY-22 House Election Winner
NY-22 House Election Winner
$22,266 Wol.
$22,266 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
John Mannion (D)
93%
Kailee Buller (R)
6%
$22,266 Wol.
$22,266 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
John Mannion (D)
$10,907 Wol.
93%
Kailee Buller (R)
$11,358 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat John Mannion holds a commanding position in the NY-22 House race due to the district's shift toward Solid Democratic status after his 2024 victory, combined with substantial fundraising dominance and uncontested primaries on both sides in June 2026. Analysts rate the Central New York seat, covering Syracuse and surrounding areas, as safe for the incumbent, with national Republican groups showing little interest in contesting it. Mannion's cash-on-hand advantage exceeds $1.6 million against challenger Kailee Buller's roughly $190,000, reflecting limited GOP donor support. Buller, a former USDA official with agriculture ties, entered late and relies on out-of-district contributions. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Mannion aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as major scandals or turnout surprises could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Wolumen
$22,266Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat John Mannion holds a commanding position in the NY-22 House race due to the district's shift toward Solid Democratic status after his 2024 victory, combined with substantial fundraising dominance and uncontested primaries on both sides in June 2026. Analysts rate the Central New York seat, covering Syracuse and surrounding areas, as safe for the incumbent, with national Republican groups showing little interest in contesting it. Mannion's cash-on-hand advantage exceeds $1.6 million against challenger Kailee Buller's roughly $190,000, reflecting limited GOP donor support. Buller, a former USDA official with agriculture ties, entered late and relies on out-of-district contributions. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Mannion aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as major scandals or turnout surprises could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$22,266Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat John Mannion holds a commanding position in the NY-22 House race due to the district's shift toward Solid Democratic status after his 2024 victory, combined with substantial fundraising dominance and uncontested primaries on both sides in June 2026. Analysts rate the Central New York seat, covering Syracuse and surrounding areas, as safe for the incumbent, with national Republican groups showing little interest in contesting it. Mannion's cash-on-hand advantage exceeds $1.6 million against challenger Kailee Buller's roughly $190,000, reflecting limited GOP donor support. Buller, a former USDA official with agriculture ties, entered late and relies on out-of-district contributions. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Mannion aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as major scandals or turnout surprises could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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