Paul Tonko’s long incumbency in New York’s 20th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by the Cook Political Report, underpins trader consensus for his general-election victory on November 3, 2026. Both candidates advanced unopposed after the June 23 primaries, leaving the race focused on the general election between the nine-term Democrat and Republican Ralph Ambrosio. Tonko’s established record on energy, labor, and regional issues, combined with the district’s consistent partisan lean in the Capital Region, sustains the wide implied probability gap. A major scandal, health event, or national political wave shifting turnout could still narrow the margin, though no such developments have surfaced in recent months.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNY-20 House Election Winner
NY-20 House Election Winner
$35,403 Wol.
$35,403 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Paul Tonko (D)
96%
Ralph Ambrosio (R)
4%
$35,403 Wol.
$35,403 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Paul Tonko (D)
$16,564 Wol.
96%
Ralph Ambrosio (R)
$18,839 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Paul Tonko’s long incumbency in New York’s 20th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by the Cook Political Report, underpins trader consensus for his general-election victory on November 3, 2026. Both candidates advanced unopposed after the June 23 primaries, leaving the race focused on the general election between the nine-term Democrat and Republican Ralph Ambrosio. Tonko’s established record on energy, labor, and regional issues, combined with the district’s consistent partisan lean in the Capital Region, sustains the wide implied probability gap. A major scandal, health event, or national political wave shifting turnout could still narrow the margin, though no such developments have surfaced in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Wolumen
$35,403Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Paul Tonko’s long incumbency in New York’s 20th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by the Cook Political Report, underpins trader consensus for his general-election victory on November 3, 2026. Both candidates advanced unopposed after the June 23 primaries, leaving the race focused on the general election between the nine-term Democrat and Republican Ralph Ambrosio. Tonko’s established record on energy, labor, and regional issues, combined with the district’s consistent partisan lean in the Capital Region, sustains the wide implied probability gap. A major scandal, health event, or national political wave shifting turnout could still narrow the margin, though no such developments have surfaced in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$35,403Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Paul Tonko’s long incumbency in New York’s 20th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by the Cook Political Report, underpins trader consensus for his general-election victory on November 3, 2026. Both candidates advanced unopposed after the June 23 primaries, leaving the race focused on the general election between the nine-term Democrat and Republican Ralph Ambrosio. Tonko’s established record on energy, labor, and regional issues, combined with the district’s consistent partisan lean in the Capital Region, sustains the wide implied probability gap. A major scandal, health event, or national political wave shifting turnout could still narrow the margin, though no such developments have surfaced in recent months.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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