Tom Cole’s commanding position in the Oklahoma 4th congressional district race stems from his long incumbency since 2003, senior role chairing the House Appropriations Committee, and consistent reelection margins above 63 percent in prior cycles. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+17, reflecting strong Republican performance in recent presidential contests. Cole secured his party nomination with 71 percent in the June 2026 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2.5 million in cash on hand. Mitchell Jacob, the Democratic nominee after a narrow primary win, faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican candidates have dominated general elections. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican. A late national wave, unforeseen personal or legal developments affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though no such catalysts have emerged in recent weeks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoOK-04 House Election Winner
OK-04 House Election Winner
$27,505 Wol.
$27,505 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Tom Cole (R)
94%
Mitchell Jacob (D)
6%
$27,505 Wol.
$27,505 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Tom Cole (R)
$15,664 Wol.
94%
Mitchell Jacob (D)
$11,841 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tom Cole’s commanding position in the Oklahoma 4th congressional district race stems from his long incumbency since 2003, senior role chairing the House Appropriations Committee, and consistent reelection margins above 63 percent in prior cycles. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+17, reflecting strong Republican performance in recent presidential contests. Cole secured his party nomination with 71 percent in the June 2026 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2.5 million in cash on hand. Mitchell Jacob, the Democratic nominee after a narrow primary win, faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican candidates have dominated general elections. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican. A late national wave, unforeseen personal or legal developments affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though no such catalysts have emerged in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Wolumen
$27,505Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tom Cole’s commanding position in the Oklahoma 4th congressional district race stems from his long incumbency since 2003, senior role chairing the House Appropriations Committee, and consistent reelection margins above 63 percent in prior cycles. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+17, reflecting strong Republican performance in recent presidential contests. Cole secured his party nomination with 71 percent in the June 2026 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2.5 million in cash on hand. Mitchell Jacob, the Democratic nominee after a narrow primary win, faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican candidates have dominated general elections. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican. A late national wave, unforeseen personal or legal developments affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though no such catalysts have emerged in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$27,505Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Tom Cole’s commanding position in the Oklahoma 4th congressional district race stems from his long incumbency since 2003, senior role chairing the House Appropriations Committee, and consistent reelection margins above 63 percent in prior cycles. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+17, reflecting strong Republican performance in recent presidential contests. Cole secured his party nomination with 71 percent in the June 2026 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2.5 million in cash on hand. Mitchell Jacob, the Democratic nominee after a narrow primary win, faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican candidates have dominated general elections. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican. A late national wave, unforeseen personal or legal developments affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though no such catalysts have emerged in recent weeks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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