**Primetime’s** modest tracking range of $10–15 million has been buoyed by strong early festival momentum following its Venice premiere, pushing trader consensus toward the 19–22 million and 22 million-plus brackets. Robert Pattinson’s star draw and A24’s proven ability to open mid-budget thrillers like *Civil War* and *Hereditary* provide a floor, while positive buzz around the *To Catch a Predator* premise and supporting cast could lift it toward the higher end of forecasts. Late-September timing avoids direct blockbuster clashes but faces typical fall audience softness. Key swing factors include final critic scores, word-of-mouth after the wide debut on September 25, and any last-minute marketing pushes. The closely matched probabilities reflect uncertainty between solid A24 performance and breakout potential.