The closely contested Quebec general election on October 5, with the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead in polls but facing strong challenges from the Coalition Avenir Québec and Liberals amid a five-party field, has kept voter engagement elevated without decisive momentum for any side. Recent polling stabilization and a high share of voters finalizing choices reflect sustained interest in issues such as the economy, housing costs, healthcare access, and sovereignty debates, factors that historically support turnout near recent provincial averages around 66%. The expanded 127-seat National Assembly and regional variations in francophone support add complexity that could influence participation rates across ridings. Late-campaign developments, including any shifts in undecided voters or targeted mobilization efforts, remain the main variables that could push the outcome toward the 70% range or hold it lower.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano66-70% 31%
70-74% 23%
62-66% 20%
58-62% 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 5, 2026
<58%
9%
58-62%
10%
62-66%
20%
66-70%
31%
70-74%
23%
74%+
8%
66-70% 31%
70-74% 23%
62-66% 20%
58-62% 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 5, 2026
<58%
$374 Wol.
9%
58-62%
$100 Wol.
10%
62-66%
$57 Wol.
20%
66-70%
$187 Wol.
31%
70-74%
$117 Wol.
23%
74%+
$233 Wol.
8%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The closely contested Quebec general election on October 5, with the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead in polls but facing strong challenges from the Coalition Avenir Québec and Liberals amid a five-party field, has kept voter engagement elevated without decisive momentum for any side. Recent polling stabilization and a high share of voters finalizing choices reflect sustained interest in issues such as the economy, housing costs, healthcare access, and sovereignty debates, factors that historically support turnout near recent provincial averages around 66%. The expanded 127-seat National Assembly and regional variations in francophone support add complexity that could influence participation rates across ridings. Late-campaign developments, including any shifts in undecided voters or targeted mobilization efforts, remain the main variables that could push the outcome toward the 70% range or hold it lower.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,069Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The closely contested Quebec general election on October 5, with the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead in polls but facing strong challenges from the Coalition Avenir Québec and Liberals amid a five-party field, has kept voter engagement elevated without decisive momentum for any side. Recent polling stabilization and a high share of voters finalizing choices reflect sustained interest in issues such as the economy, housing costs, healthcare access, and sovereignty debates, factors that historically support turnout near recent provincial averages around 66%. The expanded 127-seat National Assembly and regional variations in francophone support add complexity that could influence participation rates across ridings. Late-campaign developments, including any shifts in undecided voters or targeted mobilization efforts, remain the main variables that could push the outcome toward the 70% range or hold it lower.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Wolumen
$1,069Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The closely contested Quebec general election on October 5, with the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead in polls but facing strong challenges from the Coalition Avenir Québec and Liberals amid a five-party field, has kept voter engagement elevated without decisive momentum for any side. Recent polling stabilization and a high share of voters finalizing choices reflect sustained interest in issues such as the economy, housing costs, healthcare access, and sovereignty debates, factors that historically support turnout near recent provincial averages around 66%. The expanded 127-seat National Assembly and regional variations in francophone support add complexity that could influence participation rates across ridings. Late-campaign developments, including any shifts in undecided voters or targeted mobilization efforts, remain the main variables that could push the outcome toward the 70% range or hold it lower.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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