PQ leads Quebec’s October 5 general election race in trader pricing due to sustained polling strength and the first-past-the-post system’s amplification of its francophone support base. Recent surveys from Léger, Pallas Data, and Synopsis show the Parti Québécois holding 28–30% support, ahead of the Coalition Avenir Québec at 24–27% and the Quebec Liberal Party at 20–22%, with the Conservatives and Québec solidaire trailing further. The CAQ under new leader and Premier Christine Fréchette has clawed back some ground since the campaign launch in late August, mainly at Liberal expense, yet remains behind in seat projections. The split federalist vote and PQ’s regional concentration continue to favor it for a plurality or majority of National Assembly seats, consistent with models like 338Canada assigning the party roughly 84% odds of winning the most ridings.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoGeneralny zwycięzca wyborów w Quebecu
Generalny zwycięzca wyborów w Quebecu
PQ 72%
CAQ 26%
PLQ 3.0%
PCQ <1%
$887,772 Wol.
$887,772 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
PQ
72%
CAQ
26%
PLQ
3%
PCQ
<1%
PVQ
<1%
QS
<1%
PQ 72%
CAQ 26%
PLQ 3.0%
PCQ <1%
$887,772 Wol.
$887,772 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
PQ
$117,699 Wol.
72%
CAQ
$136,328 Wol.
26%
PLQ
$123,484 Wol.
3%
PCQ
$246,216 Wol.
<1%
PVQ
$157,522 Wol.
<1%
QS
$106,523 Wol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).PQ leads Quebec’s October 5 general election race in trader pricing due to sustained polling strength and the first-past-the-post system’s amplification of its francophone support base. Recent surveys from Léger, Pallas Data, and Synopsis show the Parti Québécois holding 28–30% support, ahead of the Coalition Avenir Québec at 24–27% and the Quebec Liberal Party at 20–22%, with the Conservatives and Québec solidaire trailing further. The CAQ under new leader and Premier Christine Fréchette has clawed back some ground since the campaign launch in late August, mainly at Liberal expense, yet remains behind in seat projections. The split federalist vote and PQ’s regional concentration continue to favor it for a plurality or majority of National Assembly seats, consistent with models like 338Canada assigning the party roughly 84% odds of winning the most ridings.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Wolumen
$887,772Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).PQ leads Quebec’s October 5 general election race in trader pricing due to sustained polling strength and the first-past-the-post system’s amplification of its francophone support base. Recent surveys from Léger, Pallas Data, and Synopsis show the Parti Québécois holding 28–30% support, ahead of the Coalition Avenir Québec at 24–27% and the Quebec Liberal Party at 20–22%, with the Conservatives and Québec solidaire trailing further. The CAQ under new leader and Premier Christine Fréchette has clawed back some ground since the campaign launch in late August, mainly at Liberal expense, yet remains behind in seat projections. The split federalist vote and PQ’s regional concentration continue to favor it for a plurality or majority of National Assembly seats, consistent with models like 338Canada assigning the party roughly 84% odds of winning the most ridings.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Wolumen
$887,772Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...PQ leads Quebec’s October 5 general election race in trader pricing due to sustained polling strength and the first-past-the-post system’s amplification of its francophone support base. Recent surveys from Léger, Pallas Data, and Synopsis show the Parti Québécois holding 28–30% support, ahead of the Coalition Avenir Québec at 24–27% and the Quebec Liberal Party at 20–22%, with the Conservatives and Québec solidaire trailing further. The CAQ under new leader and Premier Christine Fréchette has clawed back some ground since the campaign launch in late August, mainly at Liberal expense, yet remains behind in seat projections. The split federalist vote and PQ’s regional concentration continue to favor it for a plurality or majority of National Assembly seats, consistent with models like 338Canada assigning the party roughly 84% odds of winning the most ridings.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania