Vaimauga 3 by-election voters return to the polls on 18 September 2026 after the Electoral Court voided the May result on bribery findings against the prior winner and petitioner. FAST has nominated two candidates including Nonu Laulu William Mauia and Puaʻalatamai Filemoni Filemoni, while HRPP fields Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faʻaʻofo; additional independents such as Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo round out the field. Fragmented support across party lines and independents, combined with the constituency’s history of narrow margins and repeated polls in the past year, keeps implied probabilities clustered near even for the leading names. Nominations closed in late August with no major withdrawals, leaving little time for late consolidation or new endorsements to shift trader assessments ahead of pre-polling.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia 42%
Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo 15.6%
Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo 15%
Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni 5.1%
Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia
44%
Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo
16%
Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo
15%
Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni
5%
Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia 42%
Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo 15.6%
Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo 15%
Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni 5.1%
Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia
44%
Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo
16%
Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo
15%
Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni
5%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 31, 2026, 3:58 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Vaimauga 3 by-election voters return to the polls on 18 September 2026 after the Electoral Court voided the May result on bribery findings against the prior winner and petitioner. FAST has nominated two candidates including Nonu Laulu William Mauia and Puaʻalatamai Filemoni Filemoni, while HRPP fields Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faʻaʻofo; additional independents such as Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo round out the field. Fragmented support across party lines and independents, combined with the constituency’s history of narrow margins and repeated polls in the past year, keeps implied probabilities clustered near even for the leading names. Nominations closed in late August with no major withdrawals, leaving little time for late consolidation or new endorsements to shift trader assessments ahead of pre-polling.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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