Flash drought driven by persistent above-normal temperatures and below-average precipitation has expanded rapidly across the South-Central United States through early September 2026, intensifying conditions in Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, and adjacent states while long-term deficits sustain D4 exceptional drought in parts of Colorado, Nebraska, and Wyoming. The U.S. Drought Monitor for the period ending September 1 showed D4 covering roughly 1.4% of the contiguous U.S., with ongoing degradation noted in the latest weekly assessments from the National Drought Mitigation Center and NOAA partners. Authoritative monitoring relies on integrated indicators including soil moisture, streamflow, and vegetation health compared against historical baselines, with the Saffir-Simpson or similar intensity scales not applicable here; instead, D4 denotes the most severe multi-month impacts. The Climate Prediction Center’s outlooks favor continued warmth and limited relief across much of the central and southern regions through mid-September, while the next USDM update and any heavier rainfall events could shift state-level D4 presence before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoExceptional drought (D4) by state — week of September 8, 2026

Alabama
4%

Arizona
4%

Arkansas
95%

California
5%

Colorado
99%

Delaware
26%

Florida
19%

Georgia
24%

Idaho
96%

Illinois
4%

Indiana
6%

Iowa
25%

Kansas
5%

Kentucky
13%

Louisiana
5%

Maryland
41%

Minnesota
40%

Mississippi
62%

Missouri
39%

Montana
39%

Nebraska
62%

Nevada
76%

New Jersey
27%

New Mexico
63%

North Carolina
77%

North Dakota
37%

Ohio
5%

Oklahoma
61%

Oregon
97%

Pennsylvania
26%

South Carolina
26%

South Dakota
41%

Tennessee
41%

Texas
63%

Utah
73%

Virginia
7%

Washington
7%

West Virginia
2%

Wisconsin
41%

Wyoming
37%
$2,751 Wol.

Alabama
4%

Arizona
4%

Arkansas
95%

California
5%

Colorado
99%

Delaware
26%

Florida
19%

Georgia
24%

Idaho
96%

Illinois
4%

Indiana
6%

Iowa
25%

Kansas
5%

Kentucky
13%

Louisiana
5%

Maryland
41%

Minnesota
40%

Mississippi
62%

Missouri
39%

Montana
39%

Nebraska
62%

Nevada
76%

New Jersey
27%

New Mexico
63%

North Carolina
77%

North Dakota
37%

Ohio
5%

Oklahoma
61%

Oregon
97%

Pennsylvania
26%

South Carolina
26%

South Dakota
41%

Tennessee
41%

Texas
63%

Utah
73%

Virginia
7%

Washington
7%

West Virginia
2%

Wisconsin
41%

Wyoming
37%
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Alabama carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 8, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Alabama market and make no claim about Alabama's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 3, 2026, 9:00 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Alabama carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 8, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Alabama market and make no claim about Alabama's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Flash drought driven by persistent above-normal temperatures and below-average precipitation has expanded rapidly across the South-Central United States through early September 2026, intensifying conditions in Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, and adjacent states while long-term deficits sustain D4 exceptional drought in parts of Colorado, Nebraska, and Wyoming. The U.S. Drought Monitor for the period ending September 1 showed D4 covering roughly 1.4% of the contiguous U.S., with ongoing degradation noted in the latest weekly assessments from the National Drought Mitigation Center and NOAA partners. Authoritative monitoring relies on integrated indicators including soil moisture, streamflow, and vegetation health compared against historical baselines, with the Saffir-Simpson or similar intensity scales not applicable here; instead, D4 denotes the most severe multi-month impacts. The Climate Prediction Center’s outlooks favor continued warmth and limited relief across much of the central and southern regions through mid-September, while the next USDM update and any heavier rainfall events could shift state-level D4 presence before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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