Tesla shares trade near $364 amid regulatory scrutiny over Cybercab compliance ahead of the September 30 NHTSA deadline and Goldman Sachs' downward revision to Q3 delivery estimates. Elevated valuation multiples, negative free cash flow from ramping AI and robotics capex exceeding $25 billion annually, and competition from BYD continue to weigh on sentiment, while progress on Semi charging infrastructure and potential tax incentives for a Texas solar facility provide partial offsets. With earnings due in late October and no immediate catalysts this week, trader-implied odds cluster tightly around current levels, reflecting balanced uncertainty between near-term delivery softness and longer-term autonomy upside priced into analyst targets near $400.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano>$385 17%
$360-$365 14%
$355-$360 14%
$365-$370 14%
<$340
8%
$340-$345
11%
$345-$350
12%
$350-$355
9%
$355-$360
14%
$360-$365
14%
$365-$370
14%
$370-$375
13%
$375-$380
12%
$380-$385
11%
>$385
17%
>$385 17%
$360-$365 14%
$355-$360 14%
$365-$370 14%
<$340
8%
$340-$345
11%
$345-$350
12%
$350-$355
9%
$355-$360
14%
$360-$365
14%
$365-$370
14%
$370-$375
13%
$375-$380
12%
$380-$385
11%
>$385
17%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 18, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSDRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSDRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Tesla shares trade near $364 amid regulatory scrutiny over Cybercab compliance ahead of the September 30 NHTSA deadline and Goldman Sachs' downward revision to Q3 delivery estimates. Elevated valuation multiples, negative free cash flow from ramping AI and robotics capex exceeding $25 billion annually, and competition from BYD continue to weigh on sentiment, while progress on Semi charging infrastructure and potential tax incentives for a Texas solar facility provide partial offsets. With earnings due in late October and no immediate catalysts this week, trader-implied odds cluster tightly around current levels, reflecting balanced uncertainty between near-term delivery softness and longer-term autonomy upside priced into analyst targets near $400.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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