Incumbent Republican Phil Scott's established record as a moderate governor in a Democratic-leaning state underpins the strong trader consensus favoring his reelection bid for a sixth term. Scott secured his party's nomination without opposition in the August primary, while Democrat Amanda Janoo, an economist and political newcomer, narrowly prevailed in her contest. Available polling from mid-2026 shows Scott maintaining double-digit leads, reflecting his historical success in attracting crossover support despite some recent softening in approval ratings. Janoo's limited statewide profile and the structural challenges of unseating an entrenched incumbent in this race contribute to the wide gap. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unexpected voter realignment ahead of the November 3 contest remain the primary factors that could narrow the implied probability.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoVermont Governor Election Winner
Vermont Governor Election Winner
$75,843 Wol.
$75,843 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Phil Scott (R)
94%
Amanda Janoo (D)
6%
$75,843 Wol.
$75,843 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Phil Scott (R)
$40,048 Wol.
94%
Amanda Janoo (D)
$35,796 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Phil Scott's established record as a moderate governor in a Democratic-leaning state underpins the strong trader consensus favoring his reelection bid for a sixth term. Scott secured his party's nomination without opposition in the August primary, while Democrat Amanda Janoo, an economist and political newcomer, narrowly prevailed in her contest. Available polling from mid-2026 shows Scott maintaining double-digit leads, reflecting his historical success in attracting crossover support despite some recent softening in approval ratings. Janoo's limited statewide profile and the structural challenges of unseating an entrenched incumbent in this race contribute to the wide gap. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unexpected voter realignment ahead of the November 3 contest remain the primary factors that could narrow the implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Rynek otwarty: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Wolumen
$75,843Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Phil Scott's established record as a moderate governor in a Democratic-leaning state underpins the strong trader consensus favoring his reelection bid for a sixth term. Scott secured his party's nomination without opposition in the August primary, while Democrat Amanda Janoo, an economist and political newcomer, narrowly prevailed in her contest. Available polling from mid-2026 shows Scott maintaining double-digit leads, reflecting his historical success in attracting crossover support despite some recent softening in approval ratings. Janoo's limited statewide profile and the structural challenges of unseating an entrenched incumbent in this race contribute to the wide gap. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unexpected voter realignment ahead of the November 3 contest remain the primary factors that could narrow the implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Wolumen
$75,843Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Phil Scott's established record as a moderate governor in a Democratic-leaning state underpins the strong trader consensus favoring his reelection bid for a sixth term. Scott secured his party's nomination without opposition in the August primary, while Democrat Amanda Janoo, an economist and political newcomer, narrowly prevailed in her contest. Available polling from mid-2026 shows Scott maintaining double-digit leads, reflecting his historical success in attracting crossover support despite some recent softening in approval ratings. Janoo's limited statewide profile and the structural challenges of unseating an entrenched incumbent in this race contribute to the wide gap. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unexpected voter realignment ahead of the November 3 contest remain the primary factors that could narrow the implied probability.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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