OpenAI’s decision to pause select Astra development activities in early August after internal evaluations flagged potential Critical cybersecurity capabilities under its Preparedness Framework remains the dominant factor shaping trader sentiment. The frontier multi-agent reasoning model, previewed August 1 for solving decade-old math problems, faces expanded safety testing and stricter sandboxing that have lengthened the timeline beyond initial leaks pointing to late August or early September. Recent internal tests showing advanced frontend code generation have sustained optimism for a near-term release, yet the absence of an official date and ongoing reviews keep the closest weekly contracts tightly bunched around early-to-mid September. Competitive pressure from rival frontier labs and unresolved federal pre-release considerations further contribute to the balanced probabilities across the near-term windows.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhich week will OpenAI release Astra?
Which week will OpenAI release Astra?
September 14–20 43%
August 31–September 6 38%
September 21–27 36%
September 7–13 36%
NOWE
NOWE
Dec 6, 2026
August 31–September 6
38%
September 7–13
36%
September 14–20
43%
September 21–27
36%
September 28–October 4
18%
October 5–11
15%
October 12–18
15%
October 19–25
16%
October 26–November 1
18%
Not released by November 1
26%
September 14–20 43%
August 31–September 6 38%
September 21–27 36%
September 7–13 36%
NOWE
NOWE
Dec 6, 2026
August 31–September 6
$4 Wol.
38%
September 7–13
$0 Wol.
36%
September 14–20
$0 Wol.
43%
September 21–27
$0 Wol.
36%
September 28–October 4
$0 Wol.
18%
October 5–11
$0 Wol.
15%
October 12–18
$0 Wol.
15%
October 19–25
$0 Wol.
16%
October 26–November 1
$0 Wol.
18%
Not released by November 1
$0 Wol.
26%
On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed “Astra,” describing an internal version of Astra as its “next major model.” You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which OpenAI releases "Astra" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, and that model is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI’s decision to pause select Astra development activities in early August after internal evaluations flagged potential Critical cybersecurity capabilities under its Preparedness Framework remains the dominant factor shaping trader sentiment. The frontier multi-agent reasoning model, previewed August 1 for solving decade-old math problems, faces expanded safety testing and stricter sandboxing that have lengthened the timeline beyond initial leaks pointing to late August or early September. Recent internal tests showing advanced frontend code generation have sustained optimism for a near-term release, yet the absence of an official date and ongoing reviews keep the closest weekly contracts tightly bunched around early-to-mid September. Competitive pressure from rival frontier labs and unresolved federal pre-release considerations further contribute to the balanced probabilities across the near-term windows.
On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed “Astra,” describing an internal version of Astra as its “next major model.” You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which OpenAI releases "Astra" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, and that model is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which OpenAI releases "Astra" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, and that model is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 14, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
Wolumen
$188Data zakończenia
Nov 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 4:43 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed “Astra,” describing an internal version of Astra as its “next major model.” You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which OpenAI releases "Astra" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, and that model is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI’s decision to pause select Astra development activities in early August after internal evaluations flagged potential Critical cybersecurity capabilities under its Preparedness Framework remains the dominant factor shaping trader sentiment. The frontier multi-agent reasoning model, previewed August 1 for solving decade-old math problems, faces expanded safety testing and stricter sandboxing that have lengthened the timeline beyond initial leaks pointing to late August or early September. Recent internal tests showing advanced frontend code generation have sustained optimism for a near-term release, yet the absence of an official date and ongoing reviews keep the closest weekly contracts tightly bunched around early-to-mid September. Competitive pressure from rival frontier labs and unresolved federal pre-release considerations further contribute to the balanced probabilities across the near-term windows.
On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed “Astra,” describing an internal version of Astra as its “next major model.” You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which OpenAI releases "Astra" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, and that model is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which OpenAI releases "Astra" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, and that model is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$188Data zakończenia
Nov 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 4:43 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s decision to pause select Astra development activities in early August after internal evaluations flagged potential Critical cybersecurity capabilities under its Preparedness Framework remains the dominant factor shaping trader sentiment. The frontier multi-agent reasoning model, previewed August 1 for solving decade-old math problems, faces expanded safety testing and stricter sandboxing that have lengthened the timeline beyond initial leaks pointing to late August or early September. Recent internal tests showing advanced frontend code generation have sustained optimism for a near-term release, yet the absence of an official date and ongoing reviews keep the closest weekly contracts tightly bunched around early-to-mid September. Competitive pressure from rival frontier labs and unresolved federal pre-release considerations further contribute to the balanced probabilities across the near-term windows.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania