Mark Pocan holds a commanding lead in the WI-02 race because the Madison-centered district carries a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent large margins for the incumbent, including 70 percent in 2024. No Republican candidate filed by the June 2026 deadline, leaving only a minor primary challenge that Pocan dispatched easily in August. Forecasters across Cook, Sabato, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus prices this structural advantage at 97 percent, though an unforeseen late development such as a high-profile independent entry or major scandal could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWI-02 House Election Winner
WI-02 House Election Winner
$102,288 Wol.
$102,288 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Mark Pocan (D)
97%
Republican Party
<1%
$102,288 Wol.
$102,288 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Mark Pocan (D)
$62,181 Wol.
97%
Republican Party
$40,107 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Pocan holds a commanding lead in the WI-02 race because the Madison-centered district carries a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent large margins for the incumbent, including 70 percent in 2024. No Republican candidate filed by the June 2026 deadline, leaving only a minor primary challenge that Pocan dispatched easily in August. Forecasters across Cook, Sabato, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus prices this structural advantage at 97 percent, though an unforeseen late development such as a high-profile independent entry or major scandal could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Wolumen
$102,288Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Pocan holds a commanding lead in the WI-02 race because the Madison-centered district carries a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent large margins for the incumbent, including 70 percent in 2024. No Republican candidate filed by the June 2026 deadline, leaving only a minor primary challenge that Pocan dispatched easily in August. Forecasters across Cook, Sabato, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus prices this structural advantage at 97 percent, though an unforeseen late development such as a high-profile independent entry or major scandal could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$102,288Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Mark Pocan holds a commanding lead in the WI-02 race because the Madison-centered district carries a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent large margins for the incumbent, including 70 percent in 2024. No Republican candidate filed by the June 2026 deadline, leaving only a minor primary challenge that Pocan dispatched easily in August. Forecasters across Cook, Sabato, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus prices this structural advantage at 97 percent, though an unforeseen late development such as a high-profile independent entry or major scandal could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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