Anthropic's advanced IPO preparations, including a June 2026 confidential S-1 filing and recent reports of a late-September prospectus release followed by mid-October marketing, underpin the 96.9% market-implied probability it lists before OpenAI. The company is finalizing a $15 billion credit facility and targeting a potential $2 trillion valuation on strong Claude model revenue growth, positioning it for a Nasdaq debut possibly before November midterms. In contrast, OpenAI's June filing has not progressed to public steps, with internal discussions favoring a 2027 timeline to secure a $1 trillion valuation amid post-SpaceX market caution. Trader consensus reflects these verified timelines, though delays from regulatory reviews, shifting market conditions, or sudden acceleration by OpenAI remain plausible swing factors in the large language model sector.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAnthropic
97% szansa
$336,690 Wol.
$336,690 Wol.
Dec 30, 2027
Anthropic
97% szansa
$336,690 Wol.
$336,690 Wol.
Dec 30, 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's advanced IPO preparations, including a June 2026 confidential S-1 filing and recent reports of a late-September prospectus release followed by mid-October marketing, underpin the 96.9% market-implied probability it lists before OpenAI. The company is finalizing a $15 billion credit facility and targeting a potential $2 trillion valuation on strong Claude model revenue growth, positioning it for a Nasdaq debut possibly before November midterms. In contrast, OpenAI's June filing has not progressed to public steps, with internal discussions favoring a 2027 timeline to secure a $1 trillion valuation amid post-SpaceX market caution. Trader consensus reflects these verified timelines, though delays from regulatory reviews, shifting market conditions, or sudden acceleration by OpenAI remain plausible swing factors in the large language model sector.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Wolumen
$336,690Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's advanced IPO preparations, including a June 2026 confidential S-1 filing and recent reports of a late-September prospectus release followed by mid-October marketing, underpin the 96.9% market-implied probability it lists before OpenAI. The company is finalizing a $15 billion credit facility and targeting a potential $2 trillion valuation on strong Claude model revenue growth, positioning it for a Nasdaq debut possibly before November midterms. In contrast, OpenAI's June filing has not progressed to public steps, with internal discussions favoring a 2027 timeline to secure a $1 trillion valuation amid post-SpaceX market caution. Trader consensus reflects these verified timelines, though delays from regulatory reviews, shifting market conditions, or sudden acceleration by OpenAI remain plausible swing factors in the large language model sector.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$336,690Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's advanced IPO preparations, including a June 2026 confidential S-1 filing and recent reports of a late-September prospectus release followed by mid-October marketing, underpin the 96.9% market-implied probability it lists before OpenAI. The company is finalizing a $15 billion credit facility and targeting a potential $2 trillion valuation on strong Claude model revenue growth, positioning it for a Nasdaq debut possibly before November midterms. In contrast, OpenAI's June filing has not progressed to public steps, with internal discussions favoring a 2027 timeline to secure a $1 trillion valuation amid post-SpaceX market caution. Trader consensus reflects these verified timelines, though delays from regulatory reviews, shifting market conditions, or sudden acceleration by OpenAI remain plausible swing factors in the large language model sector.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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