Democratic prospects in the November 2026 midterms represent the primary driver behind the 69.5% implied probability that the House will pass articles of impeachment against President Trump before his term concludes in January 2029. Republicans currently hold a narrow House majority, but generic ballot polling favors Democrats, who would gain the simple majority needed for impeachment upon taking control. House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries has stated that Democrats have not ruled out the option, while polls show 53% of Americans believe grounds exist, citing concerns such as immigration enforcement, executive actions, and potential conflicts of interest. A recent Democratic-led resolution failed in September amid internal party divisions, yet the outcome reinforces expectations that a future Democratic majority would advance proceedings, consistent with trader assessments of midterm outcomes and institutional dynamics.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
70% szansa
$102,685 Wol.
$102,685 Wol.
Jan 19, 2029
Zarabiaj 3.25%
70% szansa
$102,685 Wol.
$102,685 Wol.
Jan 19, 2029
Zarabiaj 3.25%
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democratic prospects in the November 2026 midterms represent the primary driver behind the 69.5% implied probability that the House will pass articles of impeachment against President Trump before his term concludes in January 2029. Republicans currently hold a narrow House majority, but generic ballot polling favors Democrats, who would gain the simple majority needed for impeachment upon taking control. House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries has stated that Democrats have not ruled out the option, while polls show 53% of Americans believe grounds exist, citing concerns such as immigration enforcement, executive actions, and potential conflicts of interest. A recent Democratic-led resolution failed in September amid internal party divisions, yet the outcome reinforces expectations that a future Democratic majority would advance proceedings, consistent with trader assessments of midterm outcomes and institutional dynamics.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Rynek otwarty: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Wolumen
$102,685Data zakończenia
Jan 20, 2029Rynek otwarty
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democratic prospects in the November 2026 midterms represent the primary driver behind the 69.5% implied probability that the House will pass articles of impeachment against President Trump before his term concludes in January 2029. Republicans currently hold a narrow House majority, but generic ballot polling favors Democrats, who would gain the simple majority needed for impeachment upon taking control. House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries has stated that Democrats have not ruled out the option, while polls show 53% of Americans believe grounds exist, citing concerns such as immigration enforcement, executive actions, and potential conflicts of interest. A recent Democratic-led resolution failed in September amid internal party divisions, yet the outcome reinforces expectations that a future Democratic majority would advance proceedings, consistent with trader assessments of midterm outcomes and institutional dynamics.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Wolumen
$102,685Data zakończenia
Jan 20, 2029Rynek otwarty
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Democratic prospects in the November 2026 midterms represent the primary driver behind the 69.5% implied probability that the House will pass articles of impeachment against President Trump before his term concludes in January 2029. Republicans currently hold a narrow House majority, but generic ballot polling favors Democrats, who would gain the simple majority needed for impeachment upon taking control. House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries has stated that Democrats have not ruled out the option, while polls show 53% of Americans believe grounds exist, citing concerns such as immigration enforcement, executive actions, and potential conflicts of interest. A recent Democratic-led resolution failed in September amid internal party divisions, yet the outcome reinforces expectations that a future Democratic majority would advance proceedings, consistent with trader assessments of midterm outcomes and institutional dynamics.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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