Traders assign Donald Trump a 96.8% implied probability of not resigning before 2027, driven by the lack of any official statements, health disclosures, or institutional pressures indicating an early exit from the presidency. His active role in executive actions, policy priorities, and party leadership during the current term reinforces this consensus, consistent with historical patterns where sitting presidents rarely depart voluntarily absent extraordinary circumstances. The wisdom of crowds reflected in these odds accounts for the structural barriers to resignation, including constitutional succession rules and political incentives. Scenarios that could still move probabilities include sudden medical developments, major legal rulings or investigations, or unexpected congressional dynamics within the resolution window.