OpenAI’s phased rollout of GPT-6 Astra, its first model to hit the company’s “Critical” cybersecurity capability threshold under the Preparedness Framework, is the main factor shaping trader views on near-term removal of public access. The September 3 launch began with alpha testers and Daybreak Blue defensive users before expanding to paid ChatGPT plans and the API, reflecting deliberate limits on advanced exploit-generation features after internal benchmarks showed perfect ExploitBench scores and zero-day chaining. High demand has already strained infrastructure, prompting pauses on certain Pro sign-ups, while the model’s computer-use and agentic strengths continue to draw competitive attention from labs like Anthropic and Google. Upcoming catalysts include further access expansions and any White House review outcomes under the existing voluntary framework.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoAstra removida do acesso público por...?
Astra removida do acesso público por...?
NOVO
30 set 2026
30 de setembro
4%
31 de outubro
9%
$924 Vol.
30 de setembro
$691 Vol.
4%
31 de outubro
$233 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if public access to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra model is generally removed in the United States for any reason between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).
Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.
A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s phased rollout of GPT-6 Astra, its first model to hit the company’s “Critical” cybersecurity capability threshold under the Preparedness Framework, is the main factor shaping trader views on near-term removal of public access. The September 3 launch began with alpha testers and Daybreak Blue defensive users before expanding to paid ChatGPT plans and the API, reflecting deliberate limits on advanced exploit-generation features after internal benchmarks showed perfect ExploitBench scores and zero-day chaining. High demand has already strained infrastructure, prompting pauses on certain Pro sign-ups, while the model’s computer-use and agentic strengths continue to draw competitive attention from labs like Anthropic and Google. Upcoming catalysts include further access expansions and any White House review outcomes under the existing voluntary framework.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if public access to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra model is generally removed in the United States for any reason between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).
Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.
A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.
A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).
Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.
A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 10, 2026, 1:38 PM ET
Volume
$924Data de Término
1 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 10, 2026, 1:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if public access to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra model is generally removed in the United States for any reason between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).
Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.
A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s phased rollout of GPT-6 Astra, its first model to hit the company’s “Critical” cybersecurity capability threshold under the Preparedness Framework, is the main factor shaping trader views on near-term removal of public access. The September 3 launch began with alpha testers and Daybreak Blue defensive users before expanding to paid ChatGPT plans and the API, reflecting deliberate limits on advanced exploit-generation features after internal benchmarks showed perfect ExploitBench scores and zero-day chaining. High demand has already strained infrastructure, prompting pauses on certain Pro sign-ups, while the model’s computer-use and agentic strengths continue to draw competitive attention from labs like Anthropic and Google. Upcoming catalysts include further access expansions and any White House review outcomes under the existing voluntary framework.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if public access to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra model is generally removed in the United States for any reason between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).
Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.
A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.
A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).
Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.
A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$924Data de Término
1 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 10, 2026, 1:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s phased rollout of GPT-6 Astra, its first model to hit the company’s “Critical” cybersecurity capability threshold under the Preparedness Framework, is the main factor shaping trader views on near-term removal of public access. The September 3 launch began with alpha testers and Daybreak Blue defensive users before expanding to paid ChatGPT plans and the API, reflecting deliberate limits on advanced exploit-generation features after internal benchmarks showed perfect ExploitBench scores and zero-day chaining. High demand has already strained infrastructure, prompting pauses on certain Pro sign-ups, while the model’s computer-use and agentic strengths continue to draw competitive attention from labs like Anthropic and Google. Upcoming catalysts include further access expansions and any White House review outcomes under the existing voluntary framework.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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