Anthropic’s rapid revenue scaling drives the balanced Polymarket odds around a $1.75–2.5 trillion IPO closing market cap. Annualized run rate reached $65 billion by late July 2026, up from $47 billion in May and $9 billion at year-end 2025, with Q2 quarterly revenue exceeding $11 billion. Bankers have discussed a potential $2 trillion valuation and $100 billion-plus raise for an October Nasdaq debut following the June confidential S-1, exceeding the $965 billion Series H mark and aligning with SpaceX’s recent $1.77 trillion precedent. Secondary trading near $1.28 trillion and 2028 revenue targets of $190–200 billion support elevated forward multiples, while execution risks around margins, compute costs, and OpenAI competition keep outcomes closely contested.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$1.75–$2.0T 21%
$2.0–$2.25T 17.9%
$2.25–$2.5T 18%
$2.5–$2.75T 13.1%
$512,897 Vol.
$512,897 Vol.
31 dez 2026
<$1.25T
2%
$1.25–$1.5T
2%
$1.5–$1.75T
9%
$1.75–$2.0T
21%
$2.0–$2.25T
18%
$2.25–$2.5T
18%
$2.5–$2.75T
13%
$2.75–$3.0T
5%
$3.0T+
8%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
1%
$1.75–$2.0T 21%
$2.0–$2.25T 17.9%
$2.25–$2.5T 18%
$2.5–$2.75T 13.1%
$512,897 Vol.
$512,897 Vol.
31 dez 2026
<$1.25T
$73,640 Vol.
2%
$1.25–$1.5T
$65,767 Vol.
2%
$1.5–$1.75T
$81,956 Vol.
9%
$1.75–$2.0T
$51,797 Vol.
21%
$2.0–$2.25T
$62,290 Vol.
18%
$2.25–$2.5T
$40,915 Vol.
18%
$2.5–$2.75T
$41,522 Vol.
13%
$2.75–$3.0T
$24,618 Vol.
5%
$3.0T+
$35,829 Vol.
8%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$34,562 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s rapid revenue scaling drives the balanced Polymarket odds around a $1.75–2.5 trillion IPO closing market cap. Annualized run rate reached $65 billion by late July 2026, up from $47 billion in May and $9 billion at year-end 2025, with Q2 quarterly revenue exceeding $11 billion. Bankers have discussed a potential $2 trillion valuation and $100 billion-plus raise for an October Nasdaq debut following the June confidential S-1, exceeding the $965 billion Series H mark and aligning with SpaceX’s recent $1.77 trillion precedent. Secondary trading near $1.28 trillion and 2028 revenue targets of $190–200 billion support elevated forward multiples, while execution risks around margins, compute costs, and OpenAI competition keep outcomes closely contested.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$512,897Data de Término
31 dez 2027Mercado Aberto
Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s rapid revenue scaling drives the balanced Polymarket odds around a $1.75–2.5 trillion IPO closing market cap. Annualized run rate reached $65 billion by late July 2026, up from $47 billion in May and $9 billion at year-end 2025, with Q2 quarterly revenue exceeding $11 billion. Bankers have discussed a potential $2 trillion valuation and $100 billion-plus raise for an October Nasdaq debut following the June confidential S-1, exceeding the $965 billion Series H mark and aligning with SpaceX’s recent $1.77 trillion precedent. Secondary trading near $1.28 trillion and 2028 revenue targets of $190–200 billion support elevated forward multiples, while execution risks around margins, compute costs, and OpenAI competition keep outcomes closely contested.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$512,897Data de Término
31 dez 2027Mercado Aberto
Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s rapid revenue scaling drives the balanced Polymarket odds around a $1.75–2.5 trillion IPO closing market cap. Annualized run rate reached $65 billion by late July 2026, up from $47 billion in May and $9 billion at year-end 2025, with Q2 quarterly revenue exceeding $11 billion. Bankers have discussed a potential $2 trillion valuation and $100 billion-plus raise for an October Nasdaq debut following the June confidential S-1, exceeding the $965 billion Series H mark and aligning with SpaceX’s recent $1.77 trillion precedent. Secondary trading near $1.28 trillion and 2028 revenue targets of $190–200 billion support elevated forward multiples, while execution risks around margins, compute costs, and OpenAI competition keep outcomes closely contested.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
O valor de mercado da Anthropic será de US$600 bilhões ou mais no fechamento do mercado no dia do IPO até 31 de dezembro de 2027?
95%
Sim
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
85%
Oferta Pública Inicial da Anthropic fecha com valor de mercado acima de US$ 1,5 trilhão?
94%
Sim
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions