Recent minor incidents, including intermittent error spikes on new models like Claude Mythos 5.1 and Fable 5.1 on September 15 plus a brief Google Play subscription issue on September 16, have reinforced trader expectations for moderate downtime. Official status pages show claude.ai and API components holding 99.4–99.7% uptime over 90 days, with most September events limited to hours rather than full days and several tied to third-party factors such as Windows updates. This pattern, combined with Anthropic’s history of frequent but brief degradations amid rapid model iteration, positions the 5–7 day range as the market favorite while capping higher totals unless demand spikes or infrastructure strain intensifies before month-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoClaude vai descer em __ dias em setembro?
Claude vai descer em __ dias em setembro?
5-7 63%
8-10 32%
<5 4.3%
11-13 3.1%
NOVO
NOVO
30 set 2026
<5
4%
5-7
63%
8-10
32%
11-13
3%
14+
2%
5-7 63%
8-10 32%
<5 4.3%
11-13 3.1%
NOVO
NOVO
30 set 2026
<5
$1,995 Vol.
4%
5-7
$3,578 Vol.
63%
8-10
$1,339 Vol.
32%
11-13
$936 Vol.
3%
14+
$677 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the number of days in September 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Recent minor incidents, including intermittent error spikes on new models like Claude Mythos 5.1 and Fable 5.1 on September 15 plus a brief Google Play subscription issue on September 16, have reinforced trader expectations for moderate downtime. Official status pages show claude.ai and API components holding 99.4–99.7% uptime over 90 days, with most September events limited to hours rather than full days and several tied to third-party factors such as Windows updates. This pattern, combined with Anthropic’s history of frequent but brief degradations amid rapid model iteration, positions the 5–7 day range as the market favorite while capping higher totals unless demand spikes or infrastructure strain intensifies before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in September 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 26, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Volume
$8,525Data de Término
30 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 26, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of days in September 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Recent minor incidents, including intermittent error spikes on new models like Claude Mythos 5.1 and Fable 5.1 on September 15 plus a brief Google Play subscription issue on September 16, have reinforced trader expectations for moderate downtime. Official status pages show claude.ai and API components holding 99.4–99.7% uptime over 90 days, with most September events limited to hours rather than full days and several tied to third-party factors such as Windows updates. This pattern, combined with Anthropic’s history of frequent but brief degradations amid rapid model iteration, positions the 5–7 day range as the market favorite while capping higher totals unless demand spikes or infrastructure strain intensifies before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in September 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Volume
$8,525Data de Término
30 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 26, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent minor incidents, including intermittent error spikes on new models like Claude Mythos 5.1 and Fable 5.1 on September 15 plus a brief Google Play subscription issue on September 16, have reinforced trader expectations for moderate downtime. Official status pages show claude.ai and API components holding 99.4–99.7% uptime over 90 days, with most September events limited to hours rather than full days and several tied to third-party factors such as Windows updates. This pattern, combined with Anthropic’s history of frequent but brief degradations amid rapid model iteration, positions the 5–7 day range as the market favorite while capping higher totals unless demand spikes or infrastructure strain intensifies before month-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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