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icon for IPhone base 18 lançado por...?
Tecnologia·KPIs

IPhone base 18 lançado por...?

icon for IPhone base 18 lançado por...?
Tecnologia·KPIs

IPhone base 18 lançado por...?

NOVO
28 fev 2027
Polymarket

$274 Vol.

Polymarket

28 de fevereiro de 2027

$124 Vol.

27%

31 de março de 2027

$88 Vol.

70%

30 de abril de 2027

$62 Vol.

81%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases the base iPhone 18 by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s September 9, 2026 “Surprise and Shine” event confirmed a major shift in iPhone release cadence, with only the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and new foldable iPhone Duo launching in fall 2026 while the standard iPhone 18 was deliberately omitted. Supply constraints on advanced components, a desire to boost average selling prices, and an expanding lineup of six models prompted the split schedule, pushing the base model, 18e, and Air 2 to spring 2027 alongside an expected A20 chip. Traders are pricing this outcome heavily because Apple’s official event materials and supply-chain reports show no base-model announcements or pre-order windows, and historical patterns indicate the next major hardware reveal window is March or April 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases the base iPhone 18 by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.

In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases the base iPhone 18 by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$274
Data de Término
1 mai 2027
Mercado Aberto
Sep 18, 2026, 5:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases the base iPhone 18 by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s September 9, 2026 “Surprise and Shine” event confirmed a major shift in iPhone release cadence, with only the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and new foldable iPhone Duo launching in fall 2026 while the standard iPhone 18 was deliberately omitted. Supply constraints on advanced components, a desire to boost average selling prices, and an expanding lineup of six models prompted the split schedule, pushing the base model, 18e, and Air 2 to spring 2027 alongside an expected A20 chip. Traders are pricing this outcome heavily because Apple’s official event materials and supply-chain reports show no base-model announcements or pre-order windows, and historical patterns indicate the next major hardware reveal window is March or April 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases the base iPhone 18 by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.

In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases the base iPhone 18 by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$274
Data de Término
1 mai 2027
Mercado Aberto
Sep 18, 2026, 5:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"IPhone base 18 lançado por...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "30 de abril de 2027" at 81%, followed by "31 de março de 2027" at 70%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 81¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"IPhone base 18 lançado por...?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 18, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "IPhone base 18 lançado por...?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "IPhone base 18 lançado por...?" is "30 de abril de 2027" at 81%, meaning the market assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "31 de março de 2027" at 70%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "IPhone base 18 lançado por...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.