Discord’s secondary-market valuation has stabilized near $8.5 billion as of late August 2026—down sharply from the 2021 $15 billion peak—following its confidential January 2026 SEC filing with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan as leads. The absence of a public S-1 has shifted the base case for an IPO into 2027 amid compressed multiples for consumer platforms relative to AI and infrastructure listings, positioning the 8–11B closing-market-cap bracket as the narrow leader at 24.5% implied probability. With roughly 200 million monthly active users and $600–900 million in annualized Nitro revenue, traders price in conservative IPO pricing aligned with current secondary marks while assigning 21.6% odds to no listing by December 31, 2027. Key near-term catalysts include any public filing or shifts in equity-market sentiment for non-AI consumer names.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoValor de mercado de fechamento do IPO do Discord
8–11B 25%
11–14B 23.8%
Sem IPO até 31 de dezembro de 2027 21.6%
20B+ 6.2%
$48,885 Vol.
$48,885 Vol.
<5B
6%
5–8B
3%
8–11B
25%
11–14B
24%
14–17B
5%
17–20B
6%
20B+
6%
Sem IPO até 31 de dezembro de 2027
22%
8–11B 25%
11–14B 23.8%
Sem IPO até 31 de dezembro de 2027 21.6%
20B+ 6.2%
$48,885 Vol.
$48,885 Vol.
<5B
6%
5–8B
3%
8–11B
25%
11–14B
24%
14–17B
5%
17–20B
6%
20B+
6%
Sem IPO até 31 de dezembro de 2027
22%
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Discord’s secondary-market valuation has stabilized near $8.5 billion as of late August 2026—down sharply from the 2021 $15 billion peak—following its confidential January 2026 SEC filing with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan as leads. The absence of a public S-1 has shifted the base case for an IPO into 2027 amid compressed multiples for consumer platforms relative to AI and infrastructure listings, positioning the 8–11B closing-market-cap bracket as the narrow leader at 24.5% implied probability. With roughly 200 million monthly active users and $600–900 million in annualized Nitro revenue, traders price in conservative IPO pricing aligned with current secondary marks while assigning 21.6% odds to no listing by December 31, 2027. Key near-term catalysts include any public filing or shifts in equity-market sentiment for non-AI consumer names.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions