Byron Donalds secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with nearly 48% of the vote, backed by President Trump’s early endorsement and a substantial fundraising edge that allowed him to outpace rivals including DeSantis-aligned Lt. Gov. Jay Collins. Florida’s consistent Republican gubernatorial wins since 1998 and the state’s partisan voter registration advantage underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 79.5% implied probability. David Jolly, a former Republican who won the Democratic primary with 61%, has emphasized affordability issues such as insurance and housing costs, drawing crossover support in recent surveys. A mid-September St. Pete Polls survey showed the candidates essentially tied at 44% to 43% among likely voters, though broader polling aggregates indicate a modest Republican lead consistent with the state’s electoral fundamentals ahead of the November 3 contest.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para governador da Flórida
Vencedor da eleição para governador da Flórida
$81,975 Vol.
$81,975 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Byron Donalds (R)
80%
David Jolly (D)
21%
$81,975 Vol.
$81,975 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Byron Donalds (R)
$46,109 Vol.
80%
David Jolly (D)
$35,866 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Byron Donalds secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with nearly 48% of the vote, backed by President Trump’s early endorsement and a substantial fundraising edge that allowed him to outpace rivals including DeSantis-aligned Lt. Gov. Jay Collins. Florida’s consistent Republican gubernatorial wins since 1998 and the state’s partisan voter registration advantage underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 79.5% implied probability. David Jolly, a former Republican who won the Democratic primary with 61%, has emphasized affordability issues such as insurance and housing costs, drawing crossover support in recent surveys. A mid-September St. Pete Polls survey showed the candidates essentially tied at 44% to 43% among likely voters, though broader polling aggregates indicate a modest Republican lead consistent with the state’s electoral fundamentals ahead of the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volume
$81,975Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Byron Donalds secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with nearly 48% of the vote, backed by President Trump’s early endorsement and a substantial fundraising edge that allowed him to outpace rivals including DeSantis-aligned Lt. Gov. Jay Collins. Florida’s consistent Republican gubernatorial wins since 1998 and the state’s partisan voter registration advantage underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 79.5% implied probability. David Jolly, a former Republican who won the Democratic primary with 61%, has emphasized affordability issues such as insurance and housing costs, drawing crossover support in recent surveys. A mid-September St. Pete Polls survey showed the candidates essentially tied at 44% to 43% among likely voters, though broader polling aggregates indicate a modest Republican lead consistent with the state’s electoral fundamentals ahead of the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$81,975Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Byron Donalds secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with nearly 48% of the vote, backed by President Trump’s early endorsement and a substantial fundraising edge that allowed him to outpace rivals including DeSantis-aligned Lt. Gov. Jay Collins. Florida’s consistent Republican gubernatorial wins since 1998 and the state’s partisan voter registration advantage underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 79.5% implied probability. David Jolly, a former Republican who won the Democratic primary with 61%, has emphasized affordability issues such as insurance and housing costs, drawing crossover support in recent surveys. A mid-September St. Pete Polls survey showed the candidates essentially tied at 44% to 43% among likely voters, though broader polling aggregates indicate a modest Republican lead consistent with the state’s electoral fundamentals ahead of the November 3 contest.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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