The Socialist Party's July 2026 membership vote to hold its own closed primary, rather than join the broader United Left process, removed a key pillar of support and prompted candidate withdrawals by Clémentine Autain and Benjamin Lucas-Lundy. La France Insoumise and the Communist Party declined participation from the outset, leaving only smaller movements such as Les Écologistes, Debout!, and the Breton Democratic Union. With the October 11 schedule now effectively stalled and no major party backing, traders assign overwhelming probability to cancellation. A last-minute reversal by the Socialists or an agreement among the remaining groups to proceed anyway could still alter the outcome before the scheduled date.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoCancelada 91.9%
François Ruffin 1.1%
Clémentine Autain <1%
Marine Tondelier <1%
$227,896 Vol.
$227,896 Vol.
10 out 2026
Cancelada
92%
François Ruffin
1%
Clémentine Autain
1%
Marine Tondelier
<1%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy
<1%
Lydie Massard
<1%
Cancelada 91.9%
François Ruffin 1.1%
Clémentine Autain <1%
Marine Tondelier <1%
$227,896 Vol.
$227,896 Vol.
10 out 2026
Cancelada
$91,886 Vol.
92%
François Ruffin
$31,157 Vol.
1%
Clémentine Autain
$7,369 Vol.
1%
Marine Tondelier
$50,040 Vol.
<1%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy
$4,216 Vol.
<1%
Lydie Massard
$43,228 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The Socialist Party's July 2026 membership vote to hold its own closed primary, rather than join the broader United Left process, removed a key pillar of support and prompted candidate withdrawals by Clémentine Autain and Benjamin Lucas-Lundy. La France Insoumise and the Communist Party declined participation from the outset, leaving only smaller movements such as Les Écologistes, Debout!, and the Breton Democratic Union. With the October 11 schedule now effectively stalled and no major party backing, traders assign overwhelming probability to cancellation. A last-minute reversal by the Socialists or an agreement among the remaining groups to proceed anyway could still alter the outcome before the scheduled date.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado Aberto: May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ET
Volume
$227,896Data de Término
11 out 2026Mercado Aberto
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The Socialist Party's July 2026 membership vote to hold its own closed primary, rather than join the broader United Left process, removed a key pillar of support and prompted candidate withdrawals by Clémentine Autain and Benjamin Lucas-Lundy. La France Insoumise and the Communist Party declined participation from the outset, leaving only smaller movements such as Les Écologistes, Debout!, and the Breton Democratic Union. With the October 11 schedule now effectively stalled and no major party backing, traders assign overwhelming probability to cancellation. A last-minute reversal by the Socialists or an agreement among the remaining groups to proceed anyway could still alter the outcome before the scheduled date.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$227,896Data de Término
11 out 2026Mercado Aberto
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Socialist Party's July 2026 membership vote to hold its own closed primary, rather than join the broader United Left process, removed a key pillar of support and prompted candidate withdrawals by Clémentine Autain and Benjamin Lucas-Lundy. La France Insoumise and the Communist Party declined participation from the outset, leaving only smaller movements such as Les Écologistes, Debout!, and the Breton Democratic Union. With the October 11 schedule now effectively stalled and no major party backing, traders assign overwhelming probability to cancellation. A last-minute reversal by the Socialists or an agreement among the remaining groups to proceed anyway could still alter the outcome before the scheduled date.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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