Trader consensus on a 30°C high for Munich on September 4 reflects official forecast guidance from the German Weather Service showing clear skies, southwesterly flow, and daytime heating that supports a maximum near this threshold under late-summer conditions. Recent model runs and observational data align with this peak, consistent with the date’s historical range where 30.9°C stands as the all-time record. The market-implied odds near 100% capture the narrow uncertainty band around official station measurements. Only a notable shift in steering patterns, increased cloud cover, or measurement revision at the primary reporting site would realistically alter the outcome before final data release.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Munique no dia 4 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Munique no dia 4 de setembro?
30°C 100.0%
23°C ou menos <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$46,111 Vol.
$46,111 Vol.
4 set 2026
23°C ou menos
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C
Sim
31°C
Não
32°C
Não
33°C ou mais
Não
30°C 100.0%
23°C ou menos <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$46,111 Vol.
$46,111 Vol.
4 set 2026
23°C ou menos
$698 Vol.
Não
24°C
$1,298 Vol.
Não
25°C
$451 Vol.
Não
26°C
$1,242 Vol.
Não
27°C
$924 Vol.
Não
28°C
$3,535 Vol.
Não
29°C
$9,848 Vol.
Não
30°C
$14,258 Vol.
Sim
31°C
$7,839 Vol.
Não
32°C
$4,969 Vol.
Não
33°C ou mais
$1,050 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on a 30°C high for Munich on September 4 reflects official forecast guidance from the German Weather Service showing clear skies, southwesterly flow, and daytime heating that supports a maximum near this threshold under late-summer conditions. Recent model runs and observational data align with this peak, consistent with the date’s historical range where 30.9°C stands as the all-time record. The market-implied odds near 100% capture the narrow uncertainty band around official station measurements. Only a notable shift in steering patterns, increased cloud cover, or measurement revision at the primary reporting site would realistically alter the outcome before final data release.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$46,111Data de Término
4 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on a 30°C high for Munich on September 4 reflects official forecast guidance from the German Weather Service showing clear skies, southwesterly flow, and daytime heating that supports a maximum near this threshold under late-summer conditions. Recent model runs and observational data align with this peak, consistent with the date’s historical range where 30.9°C stands as the all-time record. The market-implied odds near 100% capture the narrow uncertainty band around official station measurements. Only a notable shift in steering patterns, increased cloud cover, or measurement revision at the primary reporting site would realistically alter the outcome before final data release.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$46,111Data de Término
4 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Trader consensus on a 30°C high for Munich on September 4 reflects official forecast guidance from the German Weather Service showing clear skies, southwesterly flow, and daytime heating that supports a maximum near this threshold under late-summer conditions. Recent model runs and observational data align with this peak, consistent with the date’s historical range where 30.9°C stands as the all-time record. The market-implied odds near 100% capture the narrow uncertainty band around official station measurements. Only a notable shift in steering patterns, increased cloud cover, or measurement revision at the primary reporting site would realistically alter the outcome before final data release.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions