Official measurements from Environment and Climate Change Canada placed Toronto’s highest temperature on September 2 at 28°C amid a day of variable cloud cover, southwest winds, and scattered thunderstorms that limited daytime heating. This reading aligns with model consensus and surface observations, producing the market’s 100% implied probability for that exact threshold. Trader consensus reflects the final verified data release, as prediction markets aggregate capital-backed assessments of official criteria rather than forecasts. A realistic challenge would require a post-publication correction from the primary reporting station or a shift in how the daily maximum is calculated across the network, though such revisions remain rare once initial quality-controlled values are confirmed.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Toronto no dia 2 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Toronto no dia 2 de setembro?
28°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$86,849 Vol.
$86,849 Vol.
2 set 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$86,849 Vol.
$86,849 Vol.
2 set 2026
25°C or below
$11,600 Vol.
No
26°C
$9,051 Vol.
No
27°C
$13,038 Vol.
No
28°C
$15,871 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$10,850 Vol.
No
30°C
$8,945 Vol.
No
31°C
$7,934 Vol.
No
32°C
$4,173 Vol.
No
33°C
$4,057 Vol.
No
34°C
$974 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$358 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official measurements from Environment and Climate Change Canada placed Toronto’s highest temperature on September 2 at 28°C amid a day of variable cloud cover, southwest winds, and scattered thunderstorms that limited daytime heating. This reading aligns with model consensus and surface observations, producing the market’s 100% implied probability for that exact threshold. Trader consensus reflects the final verified data release, as prediction markets aggregate capital-backed assessments of official criteria rather than forecasts. A realistic challenge would require a post-publication correction from the primary reporting station or a shift in how the daily maximum is calculated across the network, though such revisions remain rare once initial quality-controlled values are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$86,849Data de Término
2 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official measurements from Environment and Climate Change Canada placed Toronto’s highest temperature on September 2 at 28°C amid a day of variable cloud cover, southwest winds, and scattered thunderstorms that limited daytime heating. This reading aligns with model consensus and surface observations, producing the market’s 100% implied probability for that exact threshold. Trader consensus reflects the final verified data release, as prediction markets aggregate capital-backed assessments of official criteria rather than forecasts. A realistic challenge would require a post-publication correction from the primary reporting station or a shift in how the daily maximum is calculated across the network, though such revisions remain rare once initial quality-controlled values are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$86,849Data de Término
2 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Official measurements from Environment and Climate Change Canada placed Toronto’s highest temperature on September 2 at 28°C amid a day of variable cloud cover, southwest winds, and scattered thunderstorms that limited daytime heating. This reading aligns with model consensus and surface observations, producing the market’s 100% implied probability for that exact threshold. Trader consensus reflects the final verified data release, as prediction markets aggregate capital-backed assessments of official criteria rather than forecasts. A realistic challenge would require a post-publication correction from the primary reporting station or a shift in how the daily maximum is calculated across the network, though such revisions remain rare once initial quality-controlled values are confirmed.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions