Iowa’s open U.S. Senate race features Republican U.S. Rep. Ashley Hinson against Democrat state Rep. Josh Turek, with the seat vacated by retiring Sen. Joni Ernst. Hinson holds a consistent edge in prediction markets, reflecting Iowa’s Republican lean, her stronger name recognition as a sitting congresswoman, and a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $7 million in cash on hand compared to Turek’s roughly $2.7 million as of mid-summer. Recent polling shows a close contest, with Emerson College and others giving Hinson narrow leads while some surveys, including Rasmussen, show Turek ahead or tied. Hinson has secured broad endorsements from Iowa sheriffs and Trump allies, while Turek highlights cross-party support and appeals to independents. Forecasters rate the race as a toss-up or lean Republican. An October debate and late-cycle polling shifts remain key variables ahead of the November 3 election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para o Senado de Iowa
Vencedor da eleição para o Senado de Iowa
$272,582 Vol.
$272,582 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Ashley Hinson (R)
61%
Josh Turek (D)
40%
$272,582 Vol.
$272,582 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Ashley Hinson (R)
$138,327 Vol.
61%
Josh Turek (D)
$134,256 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Iowa’s open U.S. Senate race features Republican U.S. Rep. Ashley Hinson against Democrat state Rep. Josh Turek, with the seat vacated by retiring Sen. Joni Ernst. Hinson holds a consistent edge in prediction markets, reflecting Iowa’s Republican lean, her stronger name recognition as a sitting congresswoman, and a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $7 million in cash on hand compared to Turek’s roughly $2.7 million as of mid-summer. Recent polling shows a close contest, with Emerson College and others giving Hinson narrow leads while some surveys, including Rasmussen, show Turek ahead or tied. Hinson has secured broad endorsements from Iowa sheriffs and Trump allies, while Turek highlights cross-party support and appeals to independents. Forecasters rate the race as a toss-up or lean Republican. An October debate and late-cycle polling shifts remain key variables ahead of the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ET
Volume
$272,582Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Iowa’s open U.S. Senate race features Republican U.S. Rep. Ashley Hinson against Democrat state Rep. Josh Turek, with the seat vacated by retiring Sen. Joni Ernst. Hinson holds a consistent edge in prediction markets, reflecting Iowa’s Republican lean, her stronger name recognition as a sitting congresswoman, and a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $7 million in cash on hand compared to Turek’s roughly $2.7 million as of mid-summer. Recent polling shows a close contest, with Emerson College and others giving Hinson narrow leads while some surveys, including Rasmussen, show Turek ahead or tied. Hinson has secured broad endorsements from Iowa sheriffs and Trump allies, while Turek highlights cross-party support and appeals to independents. Forecasters rate the race as a toss-up or lean Republican. An October debate and late-cycle polling shifts remain key variables ahead of the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$272,582Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Iowa’s open U.S. Senate race features Republican U.S. Rep. Ashley Hinson against Democrat state Rep. Josh Turek, with the seat vacated by retiring Sen. Joni Ernst. Hinson holds a consistent edge in prediction markets, reflecting Iowa’s Republican lean, her stronger name recognition as a sitting congresswoman, and a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $7 million in cash on hand compared to Turek’s roughly $2.7 million as of mid-summer. Recent polling shows a close contest, with Emerson College and others giving Hinson narrow leads while some surveys, including Rasmussen, show Turek ahead or tied. Hinson has secured broad endorsements from Iowa sheriffs and Trump allies, while Turek highlights cross-party support and appeals to independents. Forecasters rate the race as a toss-up or lean Republican. An October debate and late-cycle polling shifts remain key variables ahead of the November 3 election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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