**Peggy Flanagan holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Minnesota Senate race as the Democratic nominee for the open seat vacated by Tina Smith, reflecting the state’s consistent Democratic lean in federal contests and her strong primary performance.** Flanagan defeated Rep. Angie Craig in the August 11 DFL primary with 59% of the vote, consolidating progressive and party support after earning the DFL endorsement. Recent polling averages show her ahead by roughly 4–5.5 points, with models rating the race as Likely Democratic. Republicans have not won a Minnesota Senate seat since 2002, and the state’s urban-suburban electorate plus Democratic structural advantages underpin trader consensus around 90%+ probabilities for Flanagan. Michele Tafoya, the Republican nominee and former broadcaster, won her primary but trails in head-to-head surveys. Potential shifts could arise from higher Republican turnout on issues such as state fraud concerns or national political dynamics, late-campaign developments, or unexpected turnout patterns in the final weeks before November 3.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para o Senado de Minnesota
Vencedor da eleição para o Senado de Minnesota
$68,689 Vol.
$68,689 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Peggy Flanagan (D)
92%
Michele Tafoya (R)
9%
$68,689 Vol.
$68,689 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Peggy Flanagan (D)
$50,044 Vol.
92%
Michele Tafoya (R)
$18,645 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**Peggy Flanagan holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Minnesota Senate race as the Democratic nominee for the open seat vacated by Tina Smith, reflecting the state’s consistent Democratic lean in federal contests and her strong primary performance.** Flanagan defeated Rep. Angie Craig in the August 11 DFL primary with 59% of the vote, consolidating progressive and party support after earning the DFL endorsement. Recent polling averages show her ahead by roughly 4–5.5 points, with models rating the race as Likely Democratic. Republicans have not won a Minnesota Senate seat since 2002, and the state’s urban-suburban electorate plus Democratic structural advantages underpin trader consensus around 90%+ probabilities for Flanagan. Michele Tafoya, the Republican nominee and former broadcaster, won her primary but trails in head-to-head surveys.
Potential shifts could arise from higher Republican turnout on issues such as state fraud concerns or national political dynamics, late-campaign developments, or unexpected turnout patterns in the final weeks before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volume
$68,689Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**Peggy Flanagan holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Minnesota Senate race as the Democratic nominee for the open seat vacated by Tina Smith, reflecting the state’s consistent Democratic lean in federal contests and her strong primary performance.** Flanagan defeated Rep. Angie Craig in the August 11 DFL primary with 59% of the vote, consolidating progressive and party support after earning the DFL endorsement. Recent polling averages show her ahead by roughly 4–5.5 points, with models rating the race as Likely Democratic. Republicans have not won a Minnesota Senate seat since 2002, and the state’s urban-suburban electorate plus Democratic structural advantages underpin trader consensus around 90%+ probabilities for Flanagan. Michele Tafoya, the Republican nominee and former broadcaster, won her primary but trails in head-to-head surveys.
Potential shifts could arise from higher Republican turnout on issues such as state fraud concerns or national political dynamics, late-campaign developments, or unexpected turnout patterns in the final weeks before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$68,689Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Peggy Flanagan holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Minnesota Senate race as the Democratic nominee for the open seat vacated by Tina Smith, reflecting the state’s consistent Democratic lean in federal contests and her strong primary performance.** Flanagan defeated Rep. Angie Craig in the August 11 DFL primary with 59% of the vote, consolidating progressive and party support after earning the DFL endorsement. Recent polling averages show her ahead by roughly 4–5.5 points, with models rating the race as Likely Democratic. Republicans have not won a Minnesota Senate seat since 2002, and the state’s urban-suburban electorate plus Democratic structural advantages underpin trader consensus around 90%+ probabilities for Flanagan. Michele Tafoya, the Republican nominee and former broadcaster, won her primary but trails in head-to-head surveys. Potential shifts could arise from higher Republican turnout on issues such as state fraud concerns or national political dynamics, late-campaign developments, or unexpected turnout patterns in the final weeks before November 3.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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