Incumbent Republican Tom Emmer secured the nomination in Minnesota’s 6th congressional district with over 80% of the primary vote on August 11, positioning him strongly against Democratic nominee Doug Chapin for the November 3 general election. The district’s Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including Emmer’s 62.5% win in 2024, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome at 91%. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the suburban and exurban composition and limited national headwinds. A Democratic victory would require an unusually large swing in turnout or a major late development altering the baseline partisan environment.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMN-06 Vencedor da Eleição da Câmara
MN-06 Vencedor da Eleição da Câmara
$41,423 Vol.
$41,423 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
91%
Partido Democrata
10%
$41,423 Vol.
$41,423 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$23,380 Vol.
91%
Partido Democrata
$18,043 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tom Emmer secured the nomination in Minnesota’s 6th congressional district with over 80% of the primary vote on August 11, positioning him strongly against Democratic nominee Doug Chapin for the November 3 general election. The district’s Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including Emmer’s 62.5% win in 2024, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome at 91%. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the suburban and exurban composition and limited national headwinds. A Democratic victory would require an unusually large swing in turnout or a major late development altering the baseline partisan environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$41,423Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tom Emmer secured the nomination in Minnesota’s 6th congressional district with over 80% of the primary vote on August 11, positioning him strongly against Democratic nominee Doug Chapin for the November 3 general election. The district’s Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including Emmer’s 62.5% win in 2024, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome at 91%. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the suburban and exurban composition and limited national headwinds. A Democratic victory would require an unusually large swing in turnout or a major late development altering the baseline partisan environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$41,423Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tom Emmer secured the nomination in Minnesota’s 6th congressional district with over 80% of the primary vote on August 11, positioning him strongly against Democratic nominee Doug Chapin for the November 3 general election. The district’s Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including Emmer’s 62.5% win in 2024, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome at 91%. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the suburban and exurban composition and limited national headwinds. A Democratic victory would require an unusually large swing in turnout or a major late development altering the baseline partisan environment.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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