Incumbent Ilhan Omar holds a commanding lead in Minnesota's 5th Congressional District House race due to the area's consistent Democratic partisan advantage, reflected in prior election margins exceeding 50 points and presidential results favoring Democrats by wide margins. Omar secured her party's nomination with over 80 percent in the August primary against multiple challengers, while Republican nominee John Nagel advanced from a fragmented primary field. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus on her reelection. Late developments that could shift odds include an unforeseen scandal, health event, or dramatic change in voter turnout patterns before the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMN-05 House Election Winner
MN-05 House Election Winner
$49,924 Vol.
$49,924 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Ilhan Omar (D)
97%
John Nagel (R)
4%
$49,924 Vol.
$49,924 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Ilhan Omar (D)
$18,256 Vol.
97%
John Nagel (R)
$31,668 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Ilhan Omar holds a commanding lead in Minnesota's 5th Congressional District House race due to the area's consistent Democratic partisan advantage, reflected in prior election margins exceeding 50 points and presidential results favoring Democrats by wide margins. Omar secured her party's nomination with over 80 percent in the August primary against multiple challengers, while Republican nominee John Nagel advanced from a fragmented primary field. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus on her reelection. Late developments that could shift odds include an unforeseen scandal, health event, or dramatic change in voter turnout patterns before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$49,924Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Ilhan Omar holds a commanding lead in Minnesota's 5th Congressional District House race due to the area's consistent Democratic partisan advantage, reflected in prior election margins exceeding 50 points and presidential results favoring Democrats by wide margins. Omar secured her party's nomination with over 80 percent in the August primary against multiple challengers, while Republican nominee John Nagel advanced from a fragmented primary field. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus on her reelection. Late developments that could shift odds include an unforeseen scandal, health event, or dramatic change in voter turnout patterns before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$49,924Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Ilhan Omar holds a commanding lead in Minnesota's 5th Congressional District House race due to the area's consistent Democratic partisan advantage, reflected in prior election margins exceeding 50 points and presidential results favoring Democrats by wide margins. Omar secured her party's nomination with over 80 percent in the August primary against multiple challengers, while Republican nominee John Nagel advanced from a fragmented primary field. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus on her reelection. Late developments that could shift odds include an unforeseen scandal, health event, or dramatic change in voter turnout patterns before the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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