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icon for LA-05 Vencedor da primária republicana
Política·Primárias

LA-05 Vencedor da primária republicana

icon for LA-05 Vencedor da primária republicana
Política·Primárias

LA-05 Vencedor da primária republicana

Michael Echols 8.3%

Misti Cordell 3.1%

Blake Miguez 2.0%

Michael Mebruer 1.7%

Polymarket

$63,634 Vol.

Michael Echols 8.3%

Misti Cordell 3.1%

Blake Miguez 2.0%

Michael Mebruer 1.7%

Polymarket

$63,634 Vol.

Michael Echols

$14,673 Vol.

8%

Misti Cordell

$1,906 Vol.

3%

Blake Miguez

$31,554 Vol.

2%

Michael Mebruer

$1,328 Vol.

2%

Samuel Wyatt

$6,114 Vol.

2%

Rick Edmonds

$5,965 Vol.

2%

Austin Magee

$2,094 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Louisiana's 5th Congressional District features a fragmented Republican field in the November 3, 2026, nonpartisan primary to replace retiring Rep. Julia Letlow, with no candidate exceeding single-digit implied probabilities amid redistricting and multiple state legislators and officials competing. Recent catalysts include U.S. Rep. Jim Jordan's endorsement of state Rep. Michael Echols and the Louisiana GOP's endorsement of Board of Regents Chair Misti Cordell, which drew internal party criticism and highlighted divides over process and local influence. Key differentiators center on fundraising totals, rural healthcare priorities such as Medicaid reimbursement and pharmacy benefit manager oversight, and legislative records among contenders like Echols, Cordell, Stewart Cathey, and Gabe Firment. Additional endorsements, voter outreach in northeast Louisiana, or late polling could consolidate support ahead of the top-two runoff on December 12.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$63,634
Data de Término
16 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Louisiana's 5th Congressional District features a fragmented Republican field in the November 3, 2026, nonpartisan primary to replace retiring Rep. Julia Letlow, with no candidate exceeding single-digit implied probabilities amid redistricting and multiple state legislators and officials competing. Recent catalysts include U.S. Rep. Jim Jordan's endorsement of state Rep. Michael Echols and the Louisiana GOP's endorsement of Board of Regents Chair Misti Cordell, which drew internal party criticism and highlighted divides over process and local influence. Key differentiators center on fundraising totals, rural healthcare priorities such as Medicaid reimbursement and pharmacy benefit manager oversight, and legislative records among contenders like Echols, Cordell, Stewart Cathey, and Gabe Firment. Additional endorsements, voter outreach in northeast Louisiana, or late polling could consolidate support ahead of the top-two runoff on December 12.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$63,634
Data de Término
16 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"LA-05 Vencedor da primária republicana" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Michael Echols" at 8%, followed by "Misti Cordell" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 8¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 8% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "LA-05 Vencedor da primária republicana" has generated $63.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "LA-05 Vencedor da primária republicana," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "LA-05 Vencedor da primária republicana" is "Michael Echols" at just 8%, with "Misti Cordell" close behind at 3%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "LA-05 Vencedor da primária republicana" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.