The district's entrenched Democratic advantage, rooted in its voter registration edge and demographic profile centered on New Orleans, underpins trader consensus for a Democratic hold. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 primary and potential December runoff, consistent with the incumbent's prior performance and limited Republican organization. Recent redistricting following the Supreme Court's Callais decision preserved substantial Democratic registration and voting-age population shares in the updated boundaries. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include a major candidate scandal, health event, or an unusually sharp national political swing that boosts turnout among non-Democratic voters in this low-competition environment.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoLA-02 Vencedor da eleição da casa
LA-02 Vencedor da eleição da casa
$61,261 Vol.
$61,261 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
99%
Partido Republicano
1%
$61,261 Vol.
$61,261 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$34,835 Vol.
99%
Partido Republicano
$26,426 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's entrenched Democratic advantage, rooted in its voter registration edge and demographic profile centered on New Orleans, underpins trader consensus for a Democratic hold. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 primary and potential December runoff, consistent with the incumbent's prior performance and limited Republican organization. Recent redistricting following the Supreme Court's Callais decision preserved substantial Democratic registration and voting-age population shares in the updated boundaries. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include a major candidate scandal, health event, or an unusually sharp national political swing that boosts turnout among non-Democratic voters in this low-competition environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$61,261Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's entrenched Democratic advantage, rooted in its voter registration edge and demographic profile centered on New Orleans, underpins trader consensus for a Democratic hold. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 primary and potential December runoff, consistent with the incumbent's prior performance and limited Republican organization. Recent redistricting following the Supreme Court's Callais decision preserved substantial Democratic registration and voting-age population shares in the updated boundaries. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include a major candidate scandal, health event, or an unusually sharp national political swing that boosts turnout among non-Democratic voters in this low-competition environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$61,261Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's entrenched Democratic advantage, rooted in its voter registration edge and demographic profile centered on New Orleans, underpins trader consensus for a Democratic hold. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 primary and potential December runoff, consistent with the incumbent's prior performance and limited Republican organization. Recent redistricting following the Supreme Court's Callais decision preserved substantial Democratic registration and voting-age population shares in the updated boundaries. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include a major candidate scandal, health event, or an unusually sharp national political swing that boosts turnout among non-Democratic voters in this low-competition environment.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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