Louisiana's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+20 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Safe Republican" ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Steve Scalise, the House Majority Leader, benefits from substantial fundraising advantages, endorsements from figures such as former President Trump, and the district's suburban New Orleans base that delivered him 66.8% of the vote in 2024. The November 3 open primary under Louisiana's majority-vote system features limited Democratic opposition from Lauren Jewett alongside a Republican challenger, leaving little room for an upset. Scenarios that could narrow the Republican lead include a major scandal, health-related withdrawal by Scalise, or an unusually high Democratic turnout, though such shifts remain improbable given the district's structural and historical patterns.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoLA-01 Vencedor da eleição da casa
LA-01 Vencedor da eleição da casa
$52,223 Vol.
$52,223 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
96%
Partido Democrata
5%
$52,223 Vol.
$52,223 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$22,399 Vol.
96%
Partido Democrata
$29,823 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+20 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Safe Republican" ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Steve Scalise, the House Majority Leader, benefits from substantial fundraising advantages, endorsements from figures such as former President Trump, and the district's suburban New Orleans base that delivered him 66.8% of the vote in 2024. The November 3 open primary under Louisiana's majority-vote system features limited Democratic opposition from Lauren Jewett alongside a Republican challenger, leaving little room for an upset. Scenarios that could narrow the Republican lead include a major scandal, health-related withdrawal by Scalise, or an unusually high Democratic turnout, though such shifts remain improbable given the district's structural and historical patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$52,223Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+20 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Safe Republican" ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Steve Scalise, the House Majority Leader, benefits from substantial fundraising advantages, endorsements from figures such as former President Trump, and the district's suburban New Orleans base that delivered him 66.8% of the vote in 2024. The November 3 open primary under Louisiana's majority-vote system features limited Democratic opposition from Lauren Jewett alongside a Republican challenger, leaving little room for an upset. Scenarios that could narrow the Republican lead include a major scandal, health-related withdrawal by Scalise, or an unusually high Democratic turnout, though such shifts remain improbable given the district's structural and historical patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$52,223Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+20 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Safe Republican" ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Steve Scalise, the House Majority Leader, benefits from substantial fundraising advantages, endorsements from figures such as former President Trump, and the district's suburban New Orleans base that delivered him 66.8% of the vote in 2024. The November 3 open primary under Louisiana's majority-vote system features limited Democratic opposition from Lauren Jewett alongside a Republican challenger, leaving little room for an upset. Scenarios that could narrow the Republican lead include a major scandal, health-related withdrawal by Scalise, or an unusually high Democratic turnout, though such shifts remain improbable given the district's structural and historical patterns.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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