South Carolina’s solidly Republican electorate and strong recent statewide performance by the party underpin the heavy favorite status of Republican nominee Darline Graham in the 2026 Senate race. Following the death of four-term incumbent Lindsey Graham after the June primary, his sister Darline was appointed to the seat and secured the nomination by winning an August special primary runoff against Rep. Ralph Norman. Democrat Annie Andrews, a pediatrician, is the opposing nominee. Recent polling averages show Graham ahead by low single digits, while forecasts incorporating fundamentals and the state’s partisan voting index project a comfortable Republican margin. The November general election occurs in a midterm environment where historical base rates favor the incumbent party in this deep-red state.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$160,593 Vol.
$160,593 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republicano
86%
Democrata
14%
$160,593 Vol.
$160,593 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republicano
$67,410 Vol.
86%
Democrata
$93,182 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.South Carolina’s solidly Republican electorate and strong recent statewide performance by the party underpin the heavy favorite status of Republican nominee Darline Graham in the 2026 Senate race. Following the death of four-term incumbent Lindsey Graham after the June primary, his sister Darline was appointed to the seat and secured the nomination by winning an August special primary runoff against Rep. Ralph Norman. Democrat Annie Andrews, a pediatrician, is the opposing nominee. Recent polling averages show Graham ahead by low single digits, while forecasts incorporating fundamentals and the state’s partisan voting index project a comfortable Republican margin. The November general election occurs in a midterm environment where historical base rates favor the incumbent party in this deep-red state.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$160,593Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.South Carolina’s solidly Republican electorate and strong recent statewide performance by the party underpin the heavy favorite status of Republican nominee Darline Graham in the 2026 Senate race. Following the death of four-term incumbent Lindsey Graham after the June primary, his sister Darline was appointed to the seat and secured the nomination by winning an August special primary runoff against Rep. Ralph Norman. Democrat Annie Andrews, a pediatrician, is the opposing nominee. Recent polling averages show Graham ahead by low single digits, while forecasts incorporating fundamentals and the state’s partisan voting index project a comfortable Republican margin. The November general election occurs in a midterm environment where historical base rates favor the incumbent party in this deep-red state.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$160,593Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina’s solidly Republican electorate and strong recent statewide performance by the party underpin the heavy favorite status of Republican nominee Darline Graham in the 2026 Senate race. Following the death of four-term incumbent Lindsey Graham after the June primary, his sister Darline was appointed to the seat and secured the nomination by winning an August special primary runoff against Rep. Ralph Norman. Democrat Annie Andrews, a pediatrician, is the opposing nominee. Recent polling averages show Graham ahead by low single digits, while forecasts incorporating fundamentals and the state’s partisan voting index project a comfortable Republican margin. The November general election occurs in a midterm environment where historical base rates favor the incumbent party in this deep-red state.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions