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icon for Eleição para o Senado de Oklahoma: comparecimento às urnas
Política·Comparecimento

Eleição para o Senado de Oklahoma: comparecimento às urnas

icon for Eleição para o Senado de Oklahoma: comparecimento às urnas
Política·Comparecimento

Eleição para o Senado de Oklahoma: comparecimento às urnas

1,2M-1,3M 45%

1,1M-1,2M 44%

1M-1,1M 10.8%

1,4M+ 5.0%

Polymarket
NOVO

1,2M-1,3M 45%

1,1M-1,2M 44%

1M-1,1M 10.8%

1,4M+ 5.0%

Polymarket
NOVO

<900K

$319 Vol.

1%

900K-1M

$285 Vol.

1%

1M-1,1M

$224 Vol.

11%

1,1M-1,2M

$1,309 Vol.

44%

1,2M-1,3M

$595 Vol.

45%

1,3M-1,4M

$1,805 Vol.

2%

1,4M+

$676 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Oklahoma’s low baseline voter engagement shapes expectations for total ballots cast in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate contest between Republican Kevin Hern and Democrat N’Kiyla Jasmine Thomas. The state has long ranked near the bottom nationally in participation, with recent 2026 primaries and the August runoff producing roughly 22-26% turnout among registered voters. A solidly Republican seat with limited competitiveness reduces incentives for broad mobilization, keeping projected totals clustered around 1.1-1.3 million. Traders weigh this historical pattern against the general-election environment, where concurrent statewide races or ballot questions could modestly lift participation without overcoming entrenched apathy. The narrow spread between leading ranges reflects uncertainty over whether modest structural factors like expanded early voting or campaign advertising will push totals higher or leave them closer to primary levels.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,212
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Oklahoma’s low baseline voter engagement shapes expectations for total ballots cast in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate contest between Republican Kevin Hern and Democrat N’Kiyla Jasmine Thomas. The state has long ranked near the bottom nationally in participation, with recent 2026 primaries and the August runoff producing roughly 22-26% turnout among registered voters. A solidly Republican seat with limited competitiveness reduces incentives for broad mobilization, keeping projected totals clustered around 1.1-1.3 million. Traders weigh this historical pattern against the general-election environment, where concurrent statewide races or ballot questions could modestly lift participation without overcoming entrenched apathy. The narrow spread between leading ranges reflects uncertainty over whether modest structural factors like expanded early voting or campaign advertising will push totals higher or leave them closer to primary levels.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,212
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eleição para o Senado de Oklahoma: comparecimento às urnas" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "1,2M-1,3M" at 45%, followed by "1,1M-1,2M" at 44%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Eleição para o Senado de Oklahoma: comparecimento às urnas" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 18, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Eleição para o Senado de Oklahoma: comparecimento às urnas," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eleição para o Senado de Oklahoma: comparecimento às urnas" is "1,2M-1,3M" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "1,1M-1,2M" at 44%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eleição para o Senado de Oklahoma: comparecimento às urnas" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.