The closely matched leading ranges in the Massachusetts Senate turnout market stem from the low-competition general election environment, where incumbent Ed Markey maintains a substantial lead over Republican John Deaton in polling for the November 3 contest. Markey’s decisive primary victory over Seth Moulton in early September produced limited additional voter enthusiasm in the solidly Democratic state, contributing to expectations of typical midterm participation levels rather than elevated turnout. Traders are weighing factors such as early and mail voting volumes against historical drop-off patterns in safe seats, with no major recent catalysts yet creating clear separation among the top bins clustered between 2.65 million and 2.95 million votes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEleição para o Senado de Massachusetts: comparecimento às urnas
Eleição para o Senado de Massachusetts: comparecimento às urnas
2,8M-2,95M 38%
2,65M-2,8M 32%
2,95M-3,1M 16%
2,5M-2,65M 10%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
<2,2M
4%
2,2M-2,35M
5%
2,35M-2,5M
8%
2,5M-2,65M
10%
2,65M-2,8M
32%
2,8M-2,95M
38%
2,95M-3,1M
16%
3,1M+
9%
2,8M-2,95M 38%
2,65M-2,8M 32%
2,95M-3,1M 16%
2,5M-2,65M 10%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
<2,2M
$89 Vol.
4%
2,2M-2,35M
$105 Vol.
5%
2,35M-2,5M
$81 Vol.
8%
2,5M-2,65M
$118 Vol.
10%
2,65M-2,8M
$755 Vol.
32%
2,8M-2,95M
$724 Vol.
38%
2,95M-3,1M
$91 Vol.
16%
3,1M+
$106 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched leading ranges in the Massachusetts Senate turnout market stem from the low-competition general election environment, where incumbent Ed Markey maintains a substantial lead over Republican John Deaton in polling for the November 3 contest. Markey’s decisive primary victory over Seth Moulton in early September produced limited additional voter enthusiasm in the solidly Democratic state, contributing to expectations of typical midterm participation levels rather than elevated turnout. Traders are weighing factors such as early and mail voting volumes against historical drop-off patterns in safe seats, with no major recent catalysts yet creating clear separation among the top bins clustered between 2.65 million and 2.95 million votes.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 18, 2026, 10:33 AM ET
Volume
$2,070Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched leading ranges in the Massachusetts Senate turnout market stem from the low-competition general election environment, where incumbent Ed Markey maintains a substantial lead over Republican John Deaton in polling for the November 3 contest. Markey’s decisive primary victory over Seth Moulton in early September produced limited additional voter enthusiasm in the solidly Democratic state, contributing to expectations of typical midterm participation levels rather than elevated turnout. Traders are weighing factors such as early and mail voting volumes against historical drop-off patterns in safe seats, with no major recent catalysts yet creating clear separation among the top bins clustered between 2.65 million and 2.95 million votes.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,070Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched leading ranges in the Massachusetts Senate turnout market stem from the low-competition general election environment, where incumbent Ed Markey maintains a substantial lead over Republican John Deaton in polling for the November 3 contest. Markey’s decisive primary victory over Seth Moulton in early September produced limited additional voter enthusiasm in the solidly Democratic state, contributing to expectations of typical midterm participation levels rather than elevated turnout. Traders are weighing factors such as early and mail voting volumes against historical drop-off patterns in safe seats, with no major recent catalysts yet creating clear separation among the top bins clustered between 2.65 million and 2.95 million votes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
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