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icon for Eleição para o Senado de Michigan: comparecimento às urnas
Política·Comparecimento

Eleição para o Senado de Michigan: comparecimento às urnas

icon for Eleição para o Senado de Michigan: comparecimento às urnas
Política·Comparecimento

Eleição para o Senado de Michigan: comparecimento às urnas

4,6M-4,8M 48.2%

4,8M-5M 19%

5,6M+ 18.9%

4,4M-4,6M 8%

Polymarket

$11,539 Vol.

4,6M-4,8M 48.2%

4,8M-5M 19%

5,6M+ 18.9%

4,4M-4,6M 8%

Polymarket

$11,539 Vol.

<4,2M

$341 Vol.

<1%

4,2M-4,4M

$309 Vol.

<1%

4,4M-4,6M

$2,280 Vol.

8%

4,6M-4,8M

$1,232 Vol.

41%

4,8M-5M

$2,085 Vol.

19%

5M-5,2M

$364 Vol.

1%

5,2M-5,4M

$2,531 Vol.

1%

5,4M-5,6M

$1,546 Vol.

4%

5,6M+

$852 Vol.

19%

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The competitive toss-up between Democrat Abdul El-Sayed and Republican Mike Rogers in this open-seat Michigan Senate race anchors trader expectations for general election turnout in the 4.6M-4.8M range. Recent polling averages show the contest within a few points, energizing both parties’ bases and independents ahead of November 3. A high-turnout Democratic primary exceeding 2.5 million ballots demonstrated strong engagement, while expanded early and absentee voting access supports solid midterm participation. Michigan’s historical patterns in competitive cycles, combined with economic concerns such as auto tariffs, reinforce probabilities clustered around moderate-to-elevated levels without clear signals for record or suppressed extremes. Upcoming campaign intensity and national momentum shifts remain key variables.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$11,539
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The competitive toss-up between Democrat Abdul El-Sayed and Republican Mike Rogers in this open-seat Michigan Senate race anchors trader expectations for general election turnout in the 4.6M-4.8M range. Recent polling averages show the contest within a few points, energizing both parties’ bases and independents ahead of November 3. A high-turnout Democratic primary exceeding 2.5 million ballots demonstrated strong engagement, while expanded early and absentee voting access supports solid midterm participation. Michigan’s historical patterns in competitive cycles, combined with economic concerns such as auto tariffs, reinforce probabilities clustered around moderate-to-elevated levels without clear signals for record or suppressed extremes. Upcoming campaign intensity and national momentum shifts remain key variables.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$11,539
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eleição para o Senado de Michigan: comparecimento às urnas" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "4,6M-4,8M" at 41%, followed by "4,8M-5M" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 41¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eleição para o Senado de Michigan: comparecimento às urnas" has generated $11.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 18, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eleição para o Senado de Michigan: comparecimento às urnas," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eleição para o Senado de Michigan: comparecimento às urnas" is "4,6M-4,8M" at 41%, meaning the market assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "4,8M-5M" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eleição para o Senado de Michigan: comparecimento às urnas" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.