Incumbent Ed Markey secured the Democratic nomination in the September 1 primary with roughly 65 percent of the vote against Rep. Seth Moulton, demonstrating durable support among party voters in a state where Democrats hold a wide registration edge. Recent polling averages place Markey ahead of Republican nominee John Deaton by about 20 points, consistent with Massachusetts’s strong Democratic tilt and the absence of major shifts in voter sentiment since the 2024 presidential results. All major forecasters rate the contest as safe or solid for the incumbent. While late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or sharp national realignment could theoretically narrow the gap before November 3, the current polling margin and structural fundamentals underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring Markey.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para o Senado de Massachusetts
Vencedor da eleição para o Senado de Massachusetts
$48,034 Vol.
$48,034 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Ed Markey (D)
98%
John Deaton (R)
2%
$48,034 Vol.
$48,034 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Ed Markey (D)
$35,064 Vol.
98%
John Deaton (R)
$12,970 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Ed Markey secured the Democratic nomination in the September 1 primary with roughly 65 percent of the vote against Rep. Seth Moulton, demonstrating durable support among party voters in a state where Democrats hold a wide registration edge. Recent polling averages place Markey ahead of Republican nominee John Deaton by about 20 points, consistent with Massachusetts’s strong Democratic tilt and the absence of major shifts in voter sentiment since the 2024 presidential results. All major forecasters rate the contest as safe or solid for the incumbent. While late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or sharp national realignment could theoretically narrow the gap before November 3, the current polling margin and structural fundamentals underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring Markey.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volume
$48,034Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Ed Markey secured the Democratic nomination in the September 1 primary with roughly 65 percent of the vote against Rep. Seth Moulton, demonstrating durable support among party voters in a state where Democrats hold a wide registration edge. Recent polling averages place Markey ahead of Republican nominee John Deaton by about 20 points, consistent with Massachusetts’s strong Democratic tilt and the absence of major shifts in voter sentiment since the 2024 presidential results. All major forecasters rate the contest as safe or solid for the incumbent. While late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or sharp national realignment could theoretically narrow the gap before November 3, the current polling margin and structural fundamentals underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring Markey.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$48,034Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Ed Markey secured the Democratic nomination in the September 1 primary with roughly 65 percent of the vote against Rep. Seth Moulton, demonstrating durable support among party voters in a state where Democrats hold a wide registration edge. Recent polling averages place Markey ahead of Republican nominee John Deaton by about 20 points, consistent with Massachusetts’s strong Democratic tilt and the absence of major shifts in voter sentiment since the 2024 presidential results. All major forecasters rate the contest as safe or solid for the incumbent. While late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or sharp national realignment could theoretically narrow the gap before November 3, the current polling margin and structural fundamentals underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring Markey.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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