Narendra Modi continues to lead India's NDA government in his third term following the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, with the next general election scheduled for 2029. In June 2026 he marked a record as the longest-serving elected prime minister, surpassing Jawaharlal Nehru, prompting cabinet resolutions and party tributes that underscored political stability and policy continuity. Recent weeks show Modi actively inaugurating major projects, addressing fintech and infrastructure events, and advancing initiatives such as AI skilling and energy programs, with no verified signs of resignation, coalition fracture, or institutional pressure for early departure. Isolated opposition claims and debunked social media rumors have produced no measurable shift in his position. Traders therefore assign a 93.7 percent probability to the "No" outcome, reflecting the absence of any near-term catalyst capable of ending his tenure before year-end.