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icon for Vencedor da primária republicana NH-01

Vencedor da primária republicana NH-01

icon for Vencedor da primária republicana NH-01

Vencedor da primária republicana NH-01

Anthony DiLorenzo 100.0%

Melissa Bailey <1%

Brian Cole <1%

Elizabeth Girard <1%

Polymarket

$168,352 Vol.

Anthony DiLorenzo 100.0%

Melissa Bailey <1%

Brian Cole <1%

Elizabeth Girard <1%

Polymarket

$168,352 Vol.

icon for Melissa Bailey

Melissa Bailey

$4,014 Vol.

Não

icon for Brian Cole

Brian Cole

$6,167 Vol.

Não

icon for Anthony DiLorenzo

Anthony DiLorenzo

$75,016 Vol.

Sim

icon for Elizabeth Girard

Elizabeth Girard

$19,882 Vol.

Não

icon for Hollie Noveletsky

Hollie Noveletsky

$63,273 Vol.

Não

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Anthony DiLorenzo secured the Republican nomination for New Hampshire’s 1st Congressional District in the September 8 primary with a majority of votes, reflecting trader consensus at 100 percent. President Trump’s July endorsement highlighted DiLorenzo’s business background and alignment on America First priorities such as tax cuts, energy production, and border enforcement, consolidating support among party voters. As a self-funded auto executive with substantial resources and inclusion in NRCC programs, he outpaced rivals including Hollie Noveletsky and state Representative Brian Cole in fundraising and organization. Earlier polling had shown a tighter race, but ground efforts and the endorsement shifted momentum decisively. A late recount or official certification delay could theoretically affect resolution timing, though historical patterns in New Hampshire primaries indicate swift finalization of results.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$168,352
Data de Término
8 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 23, 2026, 11:53 AM ET

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Anthony DiLorenzo secured the Republican nomination for New Hampshire’s 1st Congressional District in the September 8 primary with a majority of votes, reflecting trader consensus at 100 percent. President Trump’s July endorsement highlighted DiLorenzo’s business background and alignment on America First priorities such as tax cuts, energy production, and border enforcement, consolidating support among party voters. As a self-funded auto executive with substantial resources and inclusion in NRCC programs, he outpaced rivals including Hollie Noveletsky and state Representative Brian Cole in fundraising and organization. Earlier polling had shown a tighter race, but ground efforts and the endorsement shifted momentum decisively. A late recount or official certification delay could theoretically affect resolution timing, though historical patterns in New Hampshire primaries indicate swift finalization of results.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$168,352
Data de Término
8 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 23, 2026, 11:53 AM ET

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da primária republicana NH-01" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Anthony DiLorenzo" at 100%, followed by "Melissa Bailey" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da primária republicana NH-01" has generated $168.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da primária republicana NH-01," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da primária republicana NH-01" is "Anthony DiLorenzo" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Melissa Bailey" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da primária republicana NH-01" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.