Skip to main content

Para negociar nos EUA, acesse polymarket.us

icon for Eleição Senado Sergipe: 2º Lugar
Política·Brasil

Eleição Senado Sergipe: 2º Lugar

icon for Eleição Senado Sergipe: 2º Lugar
Política·Brasil

Eleição Senado Sergipe: 2º Lugar

Rogerio Carvalho 27%

Delegado André David 26.4%

André Moura 22%

Eduardo Amorim 13%

Polymarket

$30,588 Vol.

Rogerio Carvalho 27%

Delegado André David 26.4%

André Moura 22%

Eduardo Amorim 13%

Polymarket

$30,588 Vol.

icon for Rogerio Carvalho

Rogerio Carvalho

$7,757 Vol.

27%

icon for Delegado André David

Delegado André David

$4,339 Vol.

18%

icon for André Moura

André Moura

$5,524 Vol.

22%

icon for Eduardo Amorim

Eduardo Amorim

$3,106 Vol.

13%

icon for Rodrigo Valadares

Rodrigo Valadares

$1,737 Vol.

3%

icon for Delegado Alessandro

Delegado Alessandro

$2,100 Vol.

1%

icon for Edvaldo

Edvaldo

$1,291 Vol.

1%

icon for Paulinho da União Tur

Paulinho da União Tur

$1,114 Vol.

<1%

icon for Renatinha

Renatinha

$1,435 Vol.

<1%

icon for Coronel Rocha

Coronel Rocha

$776 Vol.

<1%

icon for Iran Barbosa

Iran Barbosa

$1,411 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**The Sergipe Senate race for the second seat remains highly fragmented ahead of the October 4 vote, with voters selecting two candidates and recent polls showing several contenders clustered within a few points amid large undecided blocs.** Rogerio Carvalho (PT) holds the highest implied probability for second place at 27%, followed by André Moura (União Brasil) at 21.5% and Delegado André David (Republicanos) at 16.9%, consistent with Quaest, ECM, and other August-September surveys where these names, along with Eduardo Amorim and Delegado Alessandro, trade narrow leads in stimulated first- and second-preference scenarios. High spontaneous indecisiveness (often 20-70%) and rejection rates above 10% for top names limit consolidation, while coligações tied to the gubernatorial contest and last-minute campaign visibility could determine final ordering. Late shifts in turnout or voter pairing of choices remain the main variables that could reorder the field before ballots close.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$30,588
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**The Sergipe Senate race for the second seat remains highly fragmented ahead of the October 4 vote, with voters selecting two candidates and recent polls showing several contenders clustered within a few points amid large undecided blocs.** Rogerio Carvalho (PT) holds the highest implied probability for second place at 27%, followed by André Moura (União Brasil) at 21.5% and Delegado André David (Republicanos) at 16.9%, consistent with Quaest, ECM, and other August-September surveys where these names, along with Eduardo Amorim and Delegado Alessandro, trade narrow leads in stimulated first- and second-preference scenarios. High spontaneous indecisiveness (often 20-70%) and rejection rates above 10% for top names limit consolidation, while coligações tied to the gubernatorial contest and last-minute campaign visibility could determine final ordering. Late shifts in turnout or voter pairing of choices remain the main variables that could reorder the field before ballots close.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$30,588
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Relacionado

icon for Will Delegado André David win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?

Will Delegado André David win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?

37%
icon for André do Prado receberá o segundo maior número de votos na eleição para o Senado de São Paulo em 2026?

André do Prado receberá o segundo maior número de votos na eleição para o Senado de São Paulo em 2026?

45%
Sim
icon for Bia Kicis receberá o segundo maior número de votos na eleição para o Senado do Distrito Federal em 2026?

Bia Kicis receberá o segundo maior número de votos na eleição para o Senado do Distrito Federal em 2026?

46%
Sim

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eleição Senado Sergipe: 2º Lugar" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Rogerio Carvalho" at 27%, followed by "André Moura" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 27¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eleição Senado Sergipe: 2º Lugar" has generated $30.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eleição Senado Sergipe: 2º Lugar," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eleição Senado Sergipe: 2º Lugar" is "Rogerio Carvalho" at 27%, meaning the market assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "André Moura" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eleição Senado Sergipe: 2º Lugar" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.