Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” holds the strongest market position at 55% implied probability, driven by her record 30 VMA wins, self-directed visual that weaves historical showgirl imagery with personal narrative, and the track’s massive streaming dominance from her *Life of a Showgirl* era. Madonna’s “Confessions II – The Film” trails at 24% as a longer-form entry with precedent in recent winners, while Ariana Grande, Sabrina Carpenter, Bruno Mars, and Gener8ion ft. Yung Lean split the remainder amid strong chart performance and critical nods. With fan voting closing September 25 ahead of the September 27 ceremony, the outcome hinges on voter turnout and any late momentum from performances or social buzz in this competitive six-way field.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVídeo VMA do Ano 2026
Vídeo VMA do Ano 2026
The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift) 56%
Confessions II – The Film (Madonna) 24%
I Just Might (Bruno Mars) 9%
Storm (Gener8ion com Yung Lean) 9%
NOVO
NOVO
27 set 2026
The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift)
56%
Confessions II – The Film (Madonna)
24%
I Just Might (Bruno Mars)
9%
Storm (Gener8ion com Yung Lean)
9%
Tears (Sabrina Carpenter)
7%
Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ariana Grande)
6%
The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift) 56%
Confessions II – The Film (Madonna) 24%
I Just Might (Bruno Mars) 9%
Storm (Gener8ion com Yung Lean) 9%
NOVO
NOVO
27 set 2026
The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift)
$2,368 Vol.
56%
Confessions II – The Film (Madonna)
$380 Vol.
24%
I Just Might (Bruno Mars)
$79 Vol.
9%
Storm (Gener8ion com Yung Lean)
$4 Vol.
9%
Tears (Sabrina Carpenter)
$16 Vol.
7%
Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ariana Grande)
$30 Vol.
6%
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” holds the strongest market position at 55% implied probability, driven by her record 30 VMA wins, self-directed visual that weaves historical showgirl imagery with personal narrative, and the track’s massive streaming dominance from her *Life of a Showgirl* era. Madonna’s “Confessions II – The Film” trails at 24% as a longer-form entry with precedent in recent winners, while Ariana Grande, Sabrina Carpenter, Bruno Mars, and Gener8ion ft. Yung Lean split the remainder amid strong chart performance and critical nods. With fan voting closing September 25 ahead of the September 27 ceremony, the outcome hinges on voter turnout and any late momentum from performances or social buzz in this competitive six-way field.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
Volume
$2,878Data de Término
28 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” holds the strongest market position at 55% implied probability, driven by her record 30 VMA wins, self-directed visual that weaves historical showgirl imagery with personal narrative, and the track’s massive streaming dominance from her *Life of a Showgirl* era. Madonna’s “Confessions II – The Film” trails at 24% as a longer-form entry with precedent in recent winners, while Ariana Grande, Sabrina Carpenter, Bruno Mars, and Gener8ion ft. Yung Lean split the remainder amid strong chart performance and critical nods. With fan voting closing September 25 ahead of the September 27 ceremony, the outcome hinges on voter turnout and any late momentum from performances or social buzz in this competitive six-way field.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,878Data de Término
28 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” holds the strongest market position at 55% implied probability, driven by her record 30 VMA wins, self-directed visual that weaves historical showgirl imagery with personal narrative, and the track’s massive streaming dominance from her *Life of a Showgirl* era. Madonna’s “Confessions II – The Film” trails at 24% as a longer-form entry with precedent in recent winners, while Ariana Grande, Sabrina Carpenter, Bruno Mars, and Gener8ion ft. Yung Lean split the remainder amid strong chart performance and critical nods. With fan voting closing September 25 ahead of the September 27 ceremony, the outcome hinges on voter turnout and any late momentum from performances or social buzz in this competitive six-way field.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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