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icon for Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 31 de dezembro?
Geopolítica·Síria

Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 31 de dezembro?

icon for Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 31 de dezembro?
Geopolítica·Síria

Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 31 de dezembro?

jan 1, 2027

jan 1, 2027

$794,985 Vol.

31 dez 2026
Polymarket

$794,985 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Líbano

Líbano

$115,301 Vol.

10%

icon for Venezuela

Venezuela

$362,456 Vol.

10%

icon for Arábia Saudita

Arábia Saudita

$76,328 Vol.

8%

icon for Tunísia

Tunísia

$12,518 Vol.

7%

icon for Kuwait

Kuwait

$17,789 Vol.

7%

icon for Iraque

Iraque

$13,696 Vol.

6%

icon for Paquistão

Paquistão

$9,947 Vol.

5%

icon for Síria

Síria

$22,307 Vol.

5%

icon for Irã

Irã

$17,152 Vol.

4%

icon for Indonésia

Indonésia

$22,827 Vol.

4%

icon for Cuba

Cuba

$13,652 Vol.

4%

icon for Coreia do Norte

Coreia do Norte

$20,667 Vol.

4%

icon for Afeganistão

Afeganistão

$20,995 Vol.

4%

icon for Malásia

Malásia

$13,554 Vol.

3%

icon for Catar

Catar

$38,977 Vol.

3%

icon for Bangladesh

Bangladesh

$16,820 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Around 25–30 UN member states still withhold formal recognition of Israel as of September 2026, concentrated among Arab League members and other Muslim-majority countries plus Cuba, North Korea, and Venezuela.** Most major diplomatic breakthroughs occurred via the 2020 Abraham Accords and subsequent expansions, leaving harder cases such as Saudi Arabia, Indonesia, and several North African and Gulf states. The most recent catalyst is the September 16, 2026, trilateral agreement among Israel, Morocco, and the United States to upgrade liaison offices to full embassies, appoint ambassadors, restore direct flights, and finalize investment pacts—reinforcing momentum in existing normalization tracks. Saudi Arabia remains the highest-profile holdout; quiet security and intelligence coordination with Israel has reportedly increased amid Houthi attacks on Saudi infrastructure, though Riyadh continues to link full recognition to Palestinian issues. With the resolution date at year-end 2026, any additional recognitions would likely stem from accelerated bilateral or U.S.-facilitated talks in the final months.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$794,985
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jun 1, 2026, 1:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Around 25–30 UN member states still withhold formal recognition of Israel as of September 2026, concentrated among Arab League members and other Muslim-majority countries plus Cuba, North Korea, and Venezuela.** Most major diplomatic breakthroughs occurred via the 2020 Abraham Accords and subsequent expansions, leaving harder cases such as Saudi Arabia, Indonesia, and several North African and Gulf states. The most recent catalyst is the September 16, 2026, trilateral agreement among Israel, Morocco, and the United States to upgrade liaison offices to full embassies, appoint ambassadors, restore direct flights, and finalize investment pacts—reinforcing momentum in existing normalization tracks. Saudi Arabia remains the highest-profile holdout; quiet security and intelligence coordination with Israel has reportedly increased amid Houthi attacks on Saudi infrastructure, though Riyadh continues to link full recognition to Palestinian issues. With the resolution date at year-end 2026, any additional recognitions would likely stem from accelerated bilateral or U.S.-facilitated talks in the final months.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$794,985
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jun 1, 2026, 1:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 31 de dezembro?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Líbano" at 10%, followed by "Venezuela" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 10¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 10% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 31 de dezembro?" has generated $795K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 31 de dezembro?," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 31 de dezembro?" is "Líbano" at 10%, meaning the market assigns a 10% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Venezuela" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 31 de dezembro?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.